Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#82
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#62
Pace65.1#261
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#89
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#120
Layup/Dunks+2.3#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#278
Freethrows+1.5#63
Improvement-2.4#293

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#83
First Shot+3.7#69
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#184
Layups/Dunks+3.7#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#325
Freethrows+2.8#21
Improvement+2.4#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four6.2% n/a n/a
First Round2.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 33 - 4
Quad 23 - 46 - 8
Quad 35 - 111 - 9
Quad 49 - 020 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 237   Siena W 75-47 88%     1 - 0 +21.9 +10.2 +15.3
  Nov 14, 2021 261   Canisius W 69-60 91%     2 - 0 +1.0 -8.3 +9.1
  Nov 18, 2021 37   Boise St. W 67-61 35%     3 - 0 +16.9 +11.0 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2021 76   Clemson W 68-65 47%     4 - 0 +10.8 +7.2 +4.0
  Nov 21, 2021 40   Marquette W 70-54 36%     5 - 0 +26.7 -0.7 +26.6
  Nov 27, 2021 95   Northern Iowa L 80-90 63%     5 - 1 -6.5 +3.8 -10.0
  Dec 01, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 93-81 95%     6 - 1 -0.2 +13.3 -14.1
  Dec 04, 2021 121   Buffalo W 68-65 72%     7 - 1 +3.9 -5.1 +9.0
  Dec 08, 2021 271   Loyola Maryland W 84-71 92%     8 - 1 +4.5 +18.1 -12.2
  Dec 11, 2021 17   Connecticut L 64-74 25%     8 - 2 +4.1 -1.1 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2021 22   Virginia Tech L 49-86 30%     8 - 3 -24.6 -17.5 -8.4
  Jan 11, 2022 214   @ La Salle W 80-76 OT 76%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +3.6 +4.6 -1.2
  Jan 14, 2022 66   Virginia Commonwealth W 73-53 53%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +26.3 +13.7 +13.9
  Jan 18, 2022 63   @ Dayton L 50-68 35%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -7.0 -6.3 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2022 267   @ Duquesne W 64-56 84%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +4.2 +2.4 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2022 118   @ George Mason L 66-75 56%     11 - 5 3 - 2 -3.6 +3.7 -8.5
  Jan 29, 2022 161   Saint Joseph's W 80-69 80%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +9.1 +7.4 +1.6
  Feb 01, 2022 52   Davidson L 76-81 48%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +2.4 +4.2 -1.9
  Feb 04, 2022 81   @ Richmond L 61-71 41%     12 - 7 4 - 4 -0.9 -1.7 -0.1
  Feb 08, 2022 176   Fordham W 76-51 82%     13 - 7 5 - 4 +22.3 +8.3 +14.3
  Feb 11, 2022 67   @ Saint Louis W 68-61 36%     14 - 7 6 - 4 +17.5 +2.1 +15.6
  Feb 14, 2022 67   Saint Louis W 83-79 53%     15 - 7 7 - 4 +10.1 +15.3 -5.0
  Feb 16, 2022 171   Massachusetts W 83-71 81%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +9.5 +5.6 +4.3
  Feb 19, 2022 267   Duquesne W 81-55 91%     17 - 7 9 - 4 +17.8 +8.1 +11.1
  Feb 22, 2022 137   Rhode Island W 73-55 75%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +17.8 +4.4 +13.6
  Feb 26, 2022 161   @ Saint Joseph's W 54-52 66%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +4.5 -12.3 +16.9
  Mar 01, 2022 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 51-74 36%     19 - 8 11 - 5 -12.3 -13.2 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2022 81   Richmond W 72-65 59%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +11.7 +7.3 +5.0
  Mar 11, 2022 67   Saint Louis L 56-57 45%     20 - 9 +7.3 -7.4 +14.6
Projected Record 20 - 9 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 6.3% 6.3% 11.8 0.0 1.2 4.9 0.3 93.7 6.3%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 0.0% 6.3% 11.8 0.0 1.2 4.9 0.3 93.7 6.3%