Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#235
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Pace67.0#209
Improvement+1.0#137

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#217
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks+0.3#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#149
Freethrows+0.6#123
Improvement+1.7#91

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot-1.0#213
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#294
Layups/Dunks-9.6#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#5
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement-0.7#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 53   @ UAB L 77-102 8%     0 - 1 -13.2 +6.3 -18.8
  Nov 14, 2021 94   @ Chattanooga L 45-75 13%     0 - 2 -21.9 -19.3 -6.2
  Nov 18, 2021 272   Tennessee Tech W 61-55 60%     1 - 2 -0.3 -19.2 +18.5
  Nov 23, 2021 28   @ North Carolina L 53-72 6%     1 - 3 -5.0 -11.4 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2021 255   The Citadel W 65-58 64%     2 - 3 -0.4 -8.2 +8.2
  Dec 04, 2021 307   NC Central W 82-66 76%     3 - 3 +4.8 -1.5 +5.2
  Dec 08, 2021 94   Chattanooga L 73-78 24%     3 - 4 -1.3 +14.0 -16.2
  Dec 11, 2021 301   @ Western Carolina W 73-72 59%     4 - 4 -5.1 -5.6 +0.5
  Dec 14, 2021 313   @ Tennessee Martin L 68-79 64%     4 - 5 -18.5 -10.0 -8.3
  Dec 18, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. W 79-64 50%     5 - 5 +11.2 +5.9 +6.4
  Jan 05, 2022 234   @ Campbell W 60-54 41%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +4.4 -0.2 +6.0
  Jan 08, 2022 350   Charleston Southern W 82-59 88%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +6.3 -0.7 +6.5
  Jan 13, 2022 174   @ Winthrop L 80-86 OT 29%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -4.2 -4.5 +1.1
  Jan 15, 2022 284   South Carolina Upstate L 73-76 71%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -12.6 -0.9 -12.0
  Jan 19, 2022 298   N.C. A&T L 71-73 73%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -12.3 +1.4 -13.9
  Jan 22, 2022 287   @ Radford W 78-74 OT 56%     8 - 8 3 - 3 -1.2 +0.3 -1.7
  Jan 27, 2022 195   Gardner-Webb L 55-61 50%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -9.8 -12.6 +2.5
  Jan 29, 2022 279   @ Presbyterian W 68-67 52%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -3.4 -1.2 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2022 156   Longwood L 48-56 41%     9 - 10 4 - 5 -9.6 -20.4 +9.6
  Feb 05, 2022 252   @ High Point L 83-91 OT 46%     9 - 11 4 - 6 -10.8 -2.1 -7.6
  Feb 09, 2022 331   Hampton W 69-53 81%     10 - 11 5 - 6 +2.9 -3.7 +7.5
  Feb 12, 2022 284   @ South Carolina Upstate W 83-56 55%     11 - 11 6 - 6 +21.8 +4.0 +17.3
  Feb 16, 2022 350   @ Charleston Southern W 85-66 79%     12 - 11 7 - 6 +6.7 +5.7 +0.9
  Feb 19, 2022 174   Winthrop L 79-84 45%     12 - 12 7 - 7 -7.6 +4.3 -12.1
  Feb 23, 2022 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 59-60 33%     12 - 13 7 - 8 -0.4 -7.1 +6.7
  Feb 26, 2022 279   Presbyterian W 98-96 3OT 69%     13 - 13 8 - 8 -6.9 -2.9 -4.5
  Mar 02, 2022 350   Charleston Southern L 78-79 84%     13 - 14 -15.5 +2.7 -18.2
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%