Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#185
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#200
Pace64.3#282
Improvement-0.2#186

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#172
First Shot+3.7#72
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#352
Layup/Dunks+3.6#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#154
Freethrows+0.0#166
Improvement+1.9#82

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
First Shot-3.0#267
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#47
Layups/Dunks-3.3#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
Freethrows+1.9#53
Improvement-2.0#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 81 - 11
Quad 33 - 54 - 16
Quad 48 - 212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 80   Toledo L 61-69 29%     0 - 1 -3.1 -9.0 +5.5
  Nov 13, 2021 276   Illinois-Chicago L 70-74 OT 77%     0 - 2 -12.8 -13.1 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2021 97   @ Stanford L 60-74 20%     0 - 3 -6.2 -10.4 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2021 153   Jacksonville St. W 78-70 43%     1 - 3 +8.8 +5.0 +3.8
  Nov 23, 2021 163   Coastal Carolina L 61-64 45%     1 - 4 -2.9 -9.4 +6.4
  Nov 24, 2021 96   Tulane W 68-64 26%     2 - 4 +9.7 -0.2 +10.1
  Dec 02, 2021 87   @ Drake L 66-73 18%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.6 +4.3 -3.5
  Dec 05, 2021 309   @ Western Michigan W 71-60 72%     3 - 5 +3.9 -0.6 +5.3
  Dec 11, 2021 189   Charlotte L 67-68 59%     3 - 6 -4.4 -2.5 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2021 304   Eastern Michigan W 67-55 82%     4 - 6 +1.2 -1.9 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2021 338   William & Mary W 88-66 88%     5 - 6 +8.1 +15.4 -6.2
  Jan 02, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 81-76 OT 57%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +2.2 -1.3 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 65-92 20%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -19.1 -5.5 -13.8
  Jan 08, 2022 124   Southern Illinois L 60-63 43%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -2.3 -1.1 -1.7
  Jan 11, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-81 2OT 9%     6 - 9 1 - 4 +6.8 +4.1 +3.2
  Jan 15, 2022 75   Missouri St. L 57-74 26%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -11.3 -10.7 -2.1
  Jan 19, 2022 95   Northern Iowa W 83-80 OT 33%     7 - 10 2 - 5 +6.5 +3.8 +2.5
  Jan 22, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. W 75-73 49%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +1.2 +0.1 +1.0
  Jan 26, 2022 98   Bradley L 56-71 34%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -11.7 -7.8 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois L 55-77 28%     8 - 12 3 - 7 -16.9 -8.7 -10.3
  Feb 05, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 79-72 2OT 66%     9 - 12 4 - 7 +1.7 -0.4 +1.6
  Feb 09, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. L 75-78 OT 40%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -1.4 -4.4 +3.2
  Feb 12, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. L 66-84 15%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -7.9 +1.0 -10.4
  Feb 16, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 69-71 16%     9 - 15 4 - 10 +7.4 +9.6 -2.4
  Feb 19, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 72-56 69%     10 - 15 5 - 10 +9.7 +3.3 +7.6
  Feb 21, 2022 302   Evansville W 74-69 82%     11 - 15 6 - 10 -5.7 +0.0 -5.5
  Feb 23, 2022 87   Drake L 65-71 31%     11 - 16 6 - 11 -1.8 +3.0 -5.7
  Feb 26, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 55-79 20%     11 - 17 6 - 12 -16.3 -6.0 -13.1
  Mar 03, 2022 302   Evansville W 81-59 76%     12 - 17 +13.5 +17.1 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2022 75   Missouri St. L 58-67 20%     12 - 18 -1.1 -12.5 +11.2
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%