Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.6#12
Expected Predictive Rating+17.7#8
Pace59.7#345
Improvement-1.2#226

Offense
Total Offense+10.1#9
First Shot+8.5#13
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#64
Layup/Dunks+1.4#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#19
Freethrows+3.4#5
Improvement-1.3#249

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#29
First Shot+4.3#55
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#28
Layups/Dunks+4.5#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement+0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 15.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 75.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen64.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight36.8% n/a n/a
Final Four17.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game7.8% n/a n/a
National Champion3.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 46 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 28 - 6
Quad 29 - 117 - 7
Quad 35 - 022 - 7
Quad 44 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 250   Mount St. Mary's W 91-51 98%     1 - 0 +32.9 +29.5 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2021 8   @ UCLA L 77-86 OT 39%     1 - 1 +10.6 +10.0 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2021 260   Howard W 100-81 98%     2 - 1 +11.1 +28.4 -16.4
  Nov 20, 2021 7   Tennessee W 71-53 46%     3 - 1 +35.6 +11.5 +24.5
  Nov 21, 2021 14   Purdue L 74-80 52%     3 - 2 +10.2 +16.8 -7.5
  Nov 28, 2021 214   @ La Salle W 72-46 93%     4 - 2 +25.6 +4.0 +23.0
  Dec 01, 2021 210   @ Penn W 71-56 93%     5 - 2 +14.8 +4.3 +12.5
  Dec 04, 2021 161   Saint Joseph's W 81-52 95%     6 - 2 +27.1 +14.5 +14.5
  Dec 07, 2021 65   Syracuse W 67-53 78%     7 - 2 +22.5 +1.4 +22.7
  Dec 12, 2021 6   @ Baylor L 36-57 37%     7 - 3 -1.0 -22.2 +17.8
  Dec 17, 2021 43   @ Creighton L 59-79 65%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -7.3 +1.1 -10.2
  Dec 21, 2021 50   Xavier W 71-58 80%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +20.6 +5.1 +16.2
  Jan 01, 2022 34   @ Seton Hall W 73-67 62%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +19.4 +11.4 +8.2
  Jan 05, 2022 43   Creighton W 75-41 79%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +42.3 +23.2 +25.3
  Jan 08, 2022 90   @ DePaul W 79-64 78%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +23.5 +22.0 +3.7
  Jan 12, 2022 50   @ Xavier W 64-60 67%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +16.0 +4.8 +11.7
  Jan 16, 2022 108   Butler W 82-42 90%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +42.5 +28.1 +22.3
  Jan 19, 2022 40   Marquette L 54-57 78%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +5.5 -6.0 +11.0
  Jan 22, 2022 150   @ Georgetown W 85-74 89%     14 - 5 7 - 2 +14.3 +18.7 -3.6
  Jan 25, 2022 90   DePaul W 67-43 88%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +28.1 +10.5 +22.8
  Jan 29, 2022 45   St. John's W 73-62 80%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +18.9 +11.4 +8.6
  Feb 02, 2022 40   @ Marquette L 73-83 64%     16 - 6 9 - 3 +2.9 +5.9 -2.8
  Feb 05, 2022 17   Connecticut W 85-74 68%     17 - 6 10 - 3 +22.9 +21.7 +1.8
  Feb 08, 2022 45   @ St. John's W 75-69 66%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +18.3 +0.6 +17.1
  Feb 12, 2022 34   Seton Hall W 73-67 77%     19 - 6 12 - 3 +15.0 +16.2 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2022 38   @ Providence W 89-84 63%     20 - 6 13 - 3 +18.1 +18.7 -0.7
  Feb 19, 2022 150   Georgetown W 74-66 94%     21 - 6 14 - 3 +6.8 -1.7 +8.4
  Feb 22, 2022 17   @ Connecticut L 69-71 51%     21 - 7 14 - 4 +14.3 +12.2 +1.9
  Mar 01, 2022 38   Providence W 76-74 78%     22 - 7 15 - 4 +10.7 +14.1 -3.2
  Mar 05, 2022 108   @ Butler W 78-59 82%     23 - 7 16 - 4 +25.9 +13.2 +13.4
  Mar 10, 2022 45   @ St. John's W 66-65 66%     24 - 7 +13.3 +5.2 +8.2
  Mar 11, 2022 17   Connecticut W 63-60 60%     25 - 7 +17.1 +10.7 +7.0
  Mar 12, 2022 43   Creighton W 54-48 72%     26 - 7 +16.5 -3.1 +20.4
Projected Record 26 - 7 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.1 15.3 60.4 23.1 1.2 0.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.1 15.3 60.4 23.1 1.2 0.0