Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#22
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#51
Pace60.3#344
Improvement+1.3#126

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#21
First Shot+8.9#10
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#264
Layup/Dunks+2.7#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#7
Freethrows-1.1#279
Improvement+2.2#72

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#58
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#12
Layups/Dunks+0.5#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
Freethrows+2.0#52
Improvement-0.9#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round50.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.6% n/a n/a
Final Four2.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 5
Quad 26 - 59 - 10
Quad 37 - 216 - 12
Quad 47 - 023 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 352   Maine W 82-47 99%     1 - 0 +17.9 +3.3 +15.7
  Nov 12, 2021 197   @ Navy W 77-57 86%     2 - 0 +20.5 +16.9 +5.6
  Nov 15, 2021 287   Radford W 65-39 97%     3 - 0 +16.3 -9.9 +26.8
  Nov 18, 2021 325   St. Francis (PA) W 85-55 98%     4 - 0 +17.3 +9.6 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2021 291   Merrimack W 72-43 97%     5 - 0 +19.1 +9.1 +15.2
  Nov 24, 2021 25   Memphis L 61-69 51%     5 - 1 +4.1 -5.4 +9.4
  Nov 26, 2021 50   Xavier L 58-59 60%     5 - 2 +8.8 -3.2 +11.8
  Dec 01, 2021 64   @ Maryland W 62-58 56%     6 - 2 +14.8 -1.1 +16.3
  Dec 04, 2021 35   Wake Forest L 61-80 63%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -10.1 +1.4 -14.4
  Dec 08, 2021 200   Cornell W 93-60 93%     7 - 3 +29.0 +17.2 +11.6
  Dec 12, 2021 63   @ Dayton L 57-62 56%     7 - 4 +6.0 -5.5 +11.1
  Dec 17, 2021 82   St. Bonaventure W 86-49 70%     8 - 4 +43.9 +19.9 +25.3
  Dec 22, 2021 13   @ Duke L 65-76 27%     8 - 5 0 - 2 +7.7 +4.4 +2.3
  Jan 04, 2022 127   North Carolina St. L 63-68 87%     8 - 6 0 - 3 -4.5 -1.2 -4.3
  Jan 12, 2022 77   @ Virginia L 52-54 59%     8 - 7 0 - 4 +8.0 -3.1 +10.6
  Jan 15, 2022 48   Notre Dame W 79-73 67%     9 - 7 1 - 4 +13.7 +19.5 -4.9
  Jan 19, 2022 127   @ North Carolina St. W 62-59 76%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +7.9 +0.1 +8.4
  Jan 22, 2022 120   @ Boston College L 63-68 75%     10 - 8 2 - 5 +0.4 +8.9 -9.7
  Jan 24, 2022 28   @ North Carolina L 68-78 44%     10 - 9 2 - 6 +4.0 +4.0 -0.5
  Jan 26, 2022 54   Miami (FL) L 75-78 69%     10 - 10 2 - 7 +4.2 +11.3 -7.4
  Jan 29, 2022 106   @ Florida St. W 85-72 70%     11 - 10 3 - 7 +20.0 +27.5 -5.7
  Feb 02, 2022 142   Georgia Tech W 81-66 88%     12 - 10 4 - 7 +14.5 +11.8 +3.0
  Feb 05, 2022 165   @ Pittsburgh W 76-71 83%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +7.3 +15.0 -7.2
  Feb 07, 2022 165   Pittsburgh W 74-47 91%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +24.9 +21.1 +10.8
  Feb 12, 2022 65   Syracuse W 71-59 72%     15 - 10 7 - 7 +18.3 +1.2 +17.8
  Feb 14, 2022 77   Virginia W 62-53 74%     16 - 10 8 - 7 +14.6 +4.6 +11.7
  Feb 19, 2022 28   North Carolina L 57-65 61%     16 - 11 8 - 8 +1.6 -9.5 +10.6
  Feb 23, 2022 142   @ Georgia Tech W 62-58 79%     17 - 11 9 - 8 +7.9 +0.3 +8.0
  Feb 26, 2022 54   @ Miami (FL) W 71-70 53%     18 - 11 10 - 8 +12.7 +7.7 +5.1
  Mar 01, 2022 119   Louisville W 75-43 86%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +33.0 +14.1 +23.3
  Mar 05, 2022 76   @ Clemson L 59-63 59%     19 - 12 11 - 9 +6.0 -1.4 +6.9
  Mar 09, 2022 76   Clemson W 76-75 OT 67%     20 - 12 +8.8 +6.7 +2.1
  Mar 10, 2022 48   Notre Dame W 87-80 59%     21 - 12 +16.9 +20.8 -3.6
  Mar 11, 2022 28   North Carolina W 72-59 52%     22 - 12 +24.8 +10.2 +15.8
  Mar 12, 2022 13   Duke W 82-67 35%     23 - 12 +31.5 +19.4 +13.1
Projected Record 23 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.6 32.4 52.2 6.6 0.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.6 32.4 52.2 6.6 0.0