Pre-tourney Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#74
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#38
Pace65.9#242
Improvement-3.4#309

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#67
First Shot+5.2#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#256
Layup/Dunks+5.8#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
Freethrows+2.7#22
Improvement-4.4#344

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#78
First Shot+3.2#78
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-0.3#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#83
Freethrows+2.7#23
Improvement+0.9#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 77.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.8% n/a n/a
First Round72.5% n/a n/a
Second Round25.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 24 - 5
Quad 27 - 111 - 6
Quad 34 - 215 - 8
Quad 49 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 221   Detroit Mercy W 85-47 89%     1 - 0 +32.8 +12.8 +23.0
  Nov 14, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-45 99%     2 - 0 +21.2 -0.4 +21.9
  Nov 18, 2021 101   @ Washington W 77-72 OT 53%     3 - 0 +12.4 -3.5 +15.0
  Nov 22, 2021 103   @ Grand Canyon W 68-61 53%     4 - 0 +14.2 +8.3 +6.7
  Nov 29, 2021 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 79-66 68%     5 - 0 +16.2 +14.6 +2.7
  Dec 02, 2021 295   Denver W 77-64 94%     6 - 0 +2.8 +4.2 -0.2
  Dec 04, 2021 326   McNeese St. W 79-58 96%     7 - 0 +8.3 +0.9 +8.1
  Dec 08, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 65-94 10%     7 - 1 -6.9 -1.7 -4.0
  Dec 11, 2021 133   Utah Valley W 74-62 78%     8 - 1 +12.0 +20.8 -6.0
  Dec 22, 2021 97   Stanford L 63-66 59%     8 - 2 +2.6 -1.3 +3.6
  Dec 23, 2021 95   Northern Iowa W 71-69 59%     9 - 2 +7.7 -7.2 +14.7
  Dec 25, 2021 231   South Florida W 77-57 86%     10 - 2 +16.4 +13.0 +4.6
  Jan 15, 2022 58   @ Utah St. W 71-69 37%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +13.4 +7.7 +5.8
  Jan 17, 2022 110   @ Nevada W 77-67 58%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +16.1 +1.5 +13.9
  Jan 19, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 84-69 93%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +6.3 +12.6 -5.1
  Jan 22, 2022 155   New Mexico W 93-91 82%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +0.4 +13.1 -12.8
  Jan 25, 2022 37   @ Boise St. L 62-65 31%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +10.1 +3.9 +5.9
  Jan 28, 2022 249   @ Air Force W 63-61 84%     15 - 3 5 - 1 -0.7 -0.4 +0.0
  Jan 31, 2022 44   Colorado St. W 84-78 OT 49%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +14.3 +4.7 +9.0
  Feb 03, 2022 37   Boise St. W 72-65 48%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +15.7 +12.6 +3.8
  Feb 06, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. W 61-59 46%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +11.0 +5.3 +6.0
  Feb 08, 2022 58   Utah St. W 78-76 OT 54%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +9.0 +6.5 +2.5
  Feb 12, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. W 74-52 87%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +17.7 +5.4 +14.4
  Feb 15, 2022 155   @ New Mexico L 66-75 69%     20 - 4 10 - 2 -6.1 -5.7 -0.7
  Feb 19, 2022 249   Air Force W 75-67 91%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +0.9 +11.3 -9.3
  Feb 23, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 55-61 33%     21 - 5 11 - 3 +6.7 -6.6 +12.5
  Feb 26, 2022 110   Nevada W 74-61 73%     22 - 5 12 - 3 +14.7 -0.4 +14.9
  Feb 28, 2022 26   San Diego St. L 66-73 43%     22 - 6 12 - 4 +2.8 +8.1 -5.7
  Mar 02, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 57-64 48%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +1.7 -8.9 +10.3
  Mar 05, 2022 84   Fresno St. W 68-64 OT 63%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +8.6 +4.5 +4.4
  Mar 10, 2022 86   @ UNLV W 59-56 48%     24 - 7 +11.7 -5.9 +17.8
  Mar 11, 2022 37   Boise St. L 61-68 39%     24 - 8 +3.9 -2.6 +6.2
Projected Record 24 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 77.6% 77.6% 10.2 0.1 1.5 12.4 32.9 29.5 1.2 22.4 77.6%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 77.6% 0.0% 77.6% 10.2 0.1 1.5 12.4 32.9 29.5 1.2 22.4 77.6%