Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#50
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#57
Pace70.5#105
Improvement-7.8#356

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#38
First Shot+5.5#39
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks+3.6#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows+2.3#28
Improvement-1.2#242

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#72
First Shot+4.4#51
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#229
Layups/Dunks-0.2#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#72
Freethrows+3.3#7
Improvement-6.6#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four32.0% n/a n/a
First Round26.2% n/a n/a
Second Round10.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 35 - 8
Quad 24 - 39 - 11
Quad 35 - 214 - 13
Quad 44 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 201   Niagara W 63-60 90%     1 - 0 -1.0 -9.6 +8.6
  Nov 12, 2021 135   Kent St. W 73-59 82%     2 - 0 +13.9 +5.1 +9.4
  Nov 18, 2021 27   Ohio St. W 71-65 50%     3 - 0 +15.7 +0.5 +15.3
  Nov 21, 2021 196   Norfolk St. W 88-48 89%     4 - 0 +36.2 +5.8 +26.7
  Nov 24, 2021 55   Iowa St. L 70-82 51%     4 - 1 -2.6 +5.1 -7.6
  Nov 26, 2021 22   Virginia Tech W 59-58 40%     5 - 1 +13.4 -1.4 +15.0
  Dec 01, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 78-45 96%     6 - 1 +22.6 -1.5 +23.5
  Dec 05, 2021 36   @ Oklahoma St. W 77-71 37%     7 - 1 +19.2 +9.8 +8.9
  Dec 08, 2021 254   Ball St. W 96-50 94%     8 - 1 +38.7 +4.7 +27.6
  Dec 11, 2021 100   Cincinnati W 83-63 74%     9 - 1 +23.0 +18.1 +6.1
  Dec 15, 2021 134   Morehead St. W 86-63 82%     10 - 1 +22.9 +13.4 +9.3
  Dec 18, 2021 40   Marquette W 80-71 55%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +17.5 +5.7 +11.1
  Dec 21, 2021 12   @ Villanova L 58-71 20%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +5.8 -3.7 +8.8
  Jan 07, 2022 108   @ Butler W 87-72 61%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +21.9 +28.1 -4.6
  Jan 12, 2022 12   Villanova L 60-64 33%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +10.4 +0.7 +9.1
  Jan 15, 2022 43   Creighton W 80-73 56%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +15.3 +8.9 +5.9
  Jan 19, 2022 90   @ DePaul W 68-67 55%     14 - 3 4 - 2 +9.5 +2.5 +7.0
  Jan 23, 2022 40   @ Marquette L 64-75 38%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +1.9 -4.2 +6.5
  Jan 26, 2022 38   Providence L 62-65 54%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +5.7 -0.9 +6.3
  Jan 29, 2022 43   @ Creighton W 74-64 39%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +22.7 +13.1 +10.0
  Feb 02, 2022 108   Butler W 68-66 76%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +4.5 +3.4 +1.3
  Feb 05, 2022 90   DePaul L 65-69 71%     16 - 6 6 - 5 +0.1 -1.0 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2022 34   @ Seton Hall L 71-73 36%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +11.4 +7.4 +4.0
  Feb 11, 2022 17   Connecticut W 74-68 42%     17 - 7 7 - 6 +17.9 +11.1 +7.2
  Feb 16, 2022 45   St. John's L 73-86 57%     17 - 8 7 - 7 -5.1 +0.0 -4.5
  Feb 19, 2022 17   @ Connecticut L 61-72 27%     17 - 9 7 - 8 +5.3 -2.6 +7.6
  Feb 23, 2022 38   @ Providence L 92-99 3OT 37%     17 - 10 7 - 9 +6.1 +8.6 -1.4
  Feb 26, 2022 34   Seton Hall L 66-82 53%     17 - 11 7 - 10 -7.0 +1.0 -8.5
  Mar 02, 2022 45   @ St. John's L 66-81 40%     17 - 12 7 - 11 -2.7 -5.6 +3.8
  Mar 05, 2022 150   Georgetown W 97-75 85%     18 - 12 8 - 11 +20.8 +18.1 +1.8
  Mar 09, 2022 108   Butler L 82-89 OT 69%     18 - 13 -2.3 +4.7 -6.3
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 42.5% 42.5% 11.3 0.1 2.5 25.1 14.7 0.1 57.5 42.5%
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 42.5% 0.0% 42.5% 11.3 0.1 2.5 25.1 14.7 0.1 57.5 42.5%