Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#340
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#226
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.4#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#242
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 5.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 19.7% 34.1% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 71.5% 48.7%
Conference Champion 3.9% 6.6% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.2% 4.9%
First Four2.8% 4.3% 1.7%
First Round1.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 289   Tennessee St. L 68-71 41%    
  Nov 13, 2021 164   @ Jacksonville St. L 57-73 8%    
  Nov 16, 2021 90   @ Cincinnati L 57-79 3%    
  Nov 21, 2021 74   @ UAB L 54-77 3%    
  Nov 24, 2021 100   @ Western Kentucky L 56-77 4%    
  Dec 08, 2021 318   @ North Alabama L 65-72 29%    
  Dec 11, 2021 255   @ Samford L 68-78 20%    
  Dec 14, 2021 243   @ Troy L 60-71 19%    
  Dec 18, 2021 176   @ Indiana St. L 57-72 11%    
  Dec 23, 2021 60   @ Georgia Tech L 53-77 2%    
  Dec 30, 2021 226   @ Lipscomb L 60-72 17%    
  Jan 03, 2022 355   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-61 66%    
  Jan 05, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 75-66 76%    
  Jan 08, 2022 347   Alcorn St. W 70-65 65%    
  Jan 10, 2022 262   Jackson St. L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 15, 2022 351   @ Alabama St. W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 22, 2022 211   @ Texas Southern L 64-77 15%    
  Jan 24, 2022 232   @ Prairie View L 60-72 18%    
  Jan 29, 2022 304   Florida A&M L 64-66 45%    
  Jan 31, 2022 350   Bethune-Cookman W 70-63 71%    
  Feb 05, 2022 317   @ Southern L 65-72 30%    
  Feb 07, 2022 312   @ Grambling St. L 63-70 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 78-63 88%    
  Feb 14, 2022 355   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-58 80%    
  Feb 19, 2022 350   @ Bethune-Cookman W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 21, 2022 304   @ Florida A&M L 61-69 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 351   Alabama St. W 69-62 71%    
  Mar 03, 2022 312   Grambling St. L 66-67 47%    
  Mar 05, 2022 317   Southern L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.7 1.2 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 4.2 1.1 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.3 4.0 0.8 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.9 5.8 7.7 9.7 11.0 11.7 11.4 10.3 8.6 6.6 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.8% 0.5    0.4 0.0
16-2 74.7% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 45.4% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 16.8% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 46.4% 46.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.5% 35.5% 35.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.4% 24.5% 24.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0
15-3 2.7% 16.2% 16.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.3
14-4 4.7% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.1
13-5 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 6.1
12-6 8.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.4 8.2
11-7 10.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 10.0
10-8 11.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.2
9-9 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
8-10 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 7.7% 7.7
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 3.9% 3.9
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%