IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#290
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#176
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#289

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	4.0%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	15.2

.500 or above	20.1%	31.5%	8.7%
.500 or above in Conference	30.0%	39.7%	20.2%
Conference Champion	3.5%	5.5%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	27.9%	19.8%	36.1%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	2.4%	3.9%	0.9%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 6	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	327	@ Binghamton	W	71-70	50%
Nov 12, 2021	292	@ Lafayette	L	73-76	39%
Nov 16, 2021	105	Colgate	L	73-82	22%
Nov 22, 2021	53	@ Penn St.	L	64-83	5%
Nov 24, 2021	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	75-72	59%
Nov 29, 2021	265	@ Canisius	L	73-77	36%
Dec 03, 2021	336	Coppin St.	W	84-76	73%
Dec 08, 2021	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	59-81	4%
Dec 19, 2021	206	Bryant	L	80-82	44%
Dec 21, 2021	44	@ Syracuse	L	64-85	5%
Dec 28, 2021	213	Hartford	L	69-70	46%
Jan 02, 2022	270	Dartmouth	W	71-69	56%
Jan 07, 2022	187	@ Penn	L	68-77	24%
Jan 08, 2022	168	@ Princeton	L	68-78	21%
Jan 15, 2022	126	@ Yale	L	67-80	15%
Jan 17, 2022	315	Columbia	W	73-68	64%
Jan 22, 2022	160	Harvard	L	70-74	36%
Jan 29, 2022	237	@ Brown	L	67-73	32%
Feb 04, 2022	168	Princeton	L	71-75	37%
Feb 05, 2022	187	Penn	L	71-74	41%
Feb 12, 2022	237	Brown	L	69-70	50%
Feb 18, 2022	270	@ Dartmouth	L	68-72	37%
Feb 19, 2022	160	@ Harvard	L	67-77	20%
Feb 26, 2022	126	Yale	L	70-77	30%
Mar 05, 2022	315	@ Columbia	L	70-71	46%
Projected Record						9 - 16	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1		3.5	1st
2nd								0.1	0.8	2.3	2.0	0.7	0.1				6.0	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.6	3.9	2.5	0.5	0.0					8.6	3rd
4th						0.3	2.7	5.3	2.8	0.4	0.0						11.4	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	3.9	6.3	3.0	0.3								14.1	5th
6th			0.1	1.5	5.7	7.4	2.8	0.2	0.0								17.7	6th
7th		0.3	3.4	7.2	6.5	1.9	0.1										19.5	7th
8th	2.4	5.8	6.3	3.7	1.0	0.1											19.2	8th

Total	2.4	6.1	9.7	12.4	13.8	13.5	12.1	10.3	7.8	5.4	3.3	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
12-2	87.5%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
11-3	61.0%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.0
10-4	27.3%	0.9		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0
9-5	4.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.9	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		100.0%	100.0%		12.5				0.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.3%		98.6%	98.6%		13.6										0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-2	0.9%		77.2%	77.2%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2
11-3	1.9%		44.9%	44.9%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	1.0
10-4	3.3%		14.3%	14.3%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	2.9
9-5	5.4%		1.9%	1.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	5.3
8-6	7.8%																							7.8
7-7	10.3%																							10.3
6-8	12.1%																							12.1
5-9	13.5%																							13.5
4-10	13.8%																							13.8
3-11	12.4%																							12.4
2-12	9.7%																							9.7
1-13	6.1%																							6.1
0-14	2.4%																							2.4

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	14.6				0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.6	97.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%