IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.0	#331
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#162
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#294

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.3%	24.7%	9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	18.5%	59.2%	17.8%
.500 or above in Conference	54.4%	81.8%	53.9%
Conference Champion	10.6%	29.6%	10.3%
Last Place in Conference	13.4%	2.6%	13.6%

First Four	7.7%	13.3%	7.6%
First Round	5.0%	17.2%	4.8%
Second Round	0.1%	1.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	9 - 8	9 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	62	@ SMU	L	65-88	2%
Nov 11, 2021	80	@ TCU	L	62-83	3%
Nov 18, 2021	36	@ LSU	L	66-92	1%
Nov 26, 2021	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	79-81	44%
Dec 01, 2021	179	@ Seattle	L	68-82	13%
Dec 04, 2021	156	@ Wyoming	L	69-84	11%
Dec 08, 2021	171	@ Louisiana	L	71-85	12%
Dec 16, 2021	163	@ UTEP	L	64-78	12%
Dec 21, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	L	59-79	5%
Jan 06, 2022	298	New Orleans	L	78-82	38%
Jan 15, 2022	348	Houston Baptist	W	85-78	73%
Jan 20, 2022	342	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	74-75	46%
Jan 22, 2022	345	@ Incarnate Word	L	70-71	48%
Jan 27, 2022	230	Nicholls St.	L	76-80	37%
Jan 29, 2022	298	New Orleans	L	80-81	48%
Feb 03, 2022	325	SE Louisiana	W	76-74	56%
Feb 05, 2022	338	Northwestern St.	W	80-76	62%
Feb 10, 2022	325	@ SE Louisiana	L	73-77	37%
Feb 12, 2022	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	77-79	43%
Feb 17, 2022	230	@ Nicholls St.	L	73-83	21%
Feb 19, 2022	298	@ New Orleans	L	77-84	30%
Feb 24, 2022	342	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	77-72	65%
Feb 26, 2022	345	Incarnate Word	W	73-68	66%
Mar 05, 2022	348	@ Houston Baptist	W	82-81	54%
Projected Record						8 - 16	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	2.0	3.2	3.0	1.5	0.4		10.6	1st
2nd								0.1	1.4	4.4	5.0	2.3	0.4				13.7	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.4	6.0	4.8	1.3	0.1					14.7	3rd
4th						0.3	2.9	6.7	4.3	0.6	0.0						14.9	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	3.4	6.7	3.4	0.3								14.1	5th
6th			0.0	0.6	3.8	5.7	2.3	0.2	0.0								12.7	6th
7th		0.1	1.2	3.7	4.4	1.6	0.1										11.1	7th
8th	0.6	1.8	2.9	2.2	0.6	0.0											8.2	8th

Total	0.6	1.9	4.2	6.5	9.2	11.0	12.2	12.8	12.1	10.3	8.3	5.6	3.4	1.5	0.4			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
13-1	100.0%	1.5		1.4	0.1
12-2	87.9%	3.0		2.2	0.7	0.0
11-3	57.0%	3.2		1.6	1.4	0.2	0.0
10-4	23.8%	2.0		0.5	0.9	0.4	0.1
9-5	4.6%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	10.6%	10.6		6.2	3.3	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.4%		66.6%	66.6%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
13-1	1.5%		49.9%	49.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8
12-2	3.4%		40.6%	40.6%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	2.0
11-3	5.6%		29.3%	29.3%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.6	4.0
10-4	8.3%		22.7%	22.7%		16.0																0.0	1.8	6.4
9-5	10.3%		14.4%	14.4%		16.0																0.0	1.5	8.8
8-6	12.1%		8.1%	8.1%		16.0																	1.0	11.1
7-7	12.8%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.5	12.3
6-8	12.2%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	12.0
5-9	11.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
4-10	9.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-11	6.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
2-12	4.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
1-13	1.9%																							1.9
0-14	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		9.3%	9.3%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	8.7	90.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%