Preseason Rankings
Nicholls St.
Southland
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.9#48
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#196
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#270
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.1% 54.1% 35.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 75.8% 94.6% 72.7%
.500 or above in Conference 91.0% 97.7% 89.9%
Conference Champion 48.6% 68.0% 45.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.2% 1.8%
First Four24.2% 20.8% 24.7%
First Round26.7% 45.1% 23.7%
Second Round0.9% 2.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 14.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 11 - 6
Quad 414 - 415 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 107   @ Northern Iowa L 73-84 14%    
  Nov 15, 2021 9   @ Baylor L 65-88 2%    
  Nov 18, 2021 80   @ TCU L 68-82 12%    
  Nov 22, 2021 305   Cal Poly W 76-72 64%    
  Dec 09, 2021 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 90-72 93%    
  Dec 15, 2021 43   @ Wisconsin L 62-79 8%    
  Dec 18, 2021 358   Mississippi Valley W 93-69 97%    
  Dec 21, 2021 70   @ Oregon St. L 66-81 12%    
  Dec 29, 2021 5   @ Purdue L 63-86 3%    
  Jan 15, 2022 298   @ New Orleans W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 20, 2022 338   Northwestern St. W 87-76 81%    
  Jan 22, 2022 325   SE Louisiana W 82-73 77%    
  Jan 27, 2022 331   @ McNeese St. W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 348   @ Houston Baptist W 90-81 75%    
  Feb 03, 2022 345   @ Incarnate Word W 77-70 70%    
  Feb 10, 2022 345   Incarnate Word W 80-67 84%    
  Feb 12, 2022 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 83-71 83%    
  Feb 17, 2022 331   McNeese St. W 83-73 79%    
  Feb 19, 2022 348   Houston Baptist W 93-78 88%    
  Feb 24, 2022 338   @ Northwestern St. W 84-79 66%    
  Feb 26, 2022 325   @ SE Louisiana W 79-76 60%    
  Mar 02, 2022 342   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-74 69%    
  Mar 05, 2022 298   New Orleans W 87-80 70%    
Projected Record 13 - 10 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.2 10.2 13.8 12.5 7.0 48.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.3 8.2 5.3 1.4 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 4.4 4.7 1.7 0.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.9 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 4.0 6.4 8.6 11.4 14.2 15.7 15.2 12.5 7.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 7.0    7.0
13-1 100.0% 12.5    11.9 0.6
12-2 90.5% 13.8    11.0 2.7 0.1
11-3 65.1% 10.2    5.8 3.9 0.5 0.0
10-4 29.7% 4.2    1.3 1.9 0.9 0.1
9-5 7.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 48.6% 48.6 37.2 9.4 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 7.0% 76.6% 76.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.2 1.6 0.1%
13-1 12.5% 65.2% 65.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.6 4.4
12-2 15.2% 55.2% 55.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 7.3 6.8
11-3 15.7% 44.7% 44.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.7 8.7
10-4 14.2% 33.3% 33.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 9.5
9-5 11.4% 22.4% 22.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5 8.8
8-6 8.6% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 1.1 7.4
7-7 6.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.6 5.8
6-8 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.2 3.9
5-9 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.4
4-10 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-11 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 38.1% 38.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 5.1 31.0 61.9 0.0%