IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.9	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.0	#104
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.6	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#319

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.8%	17.7%	5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	22.3%	64.5%	21.2%
.500 or above in Conference	41.9%	74.0%	41.1%
Conference Champion	6.6%	21.2%	6.2%
Last Place in Conference	20.6%	5.3%	21.0%

First Four	5.3%	13.8%	5.1%
First Round	2.7%	11.2%	2.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 4	9 - 11	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 14, 2021	94	@ Texas A&M	L	57-79	2%
Nov 16, 2021	333	IUPUI	L	76-78	45%
Nov 17, 2021	344	Denver	W	76-75	50%
Nov 21, 2021	207	@ Texas San Antonio	L	71-85	12%
Dec 01, 2021	310	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	69-76	27%
Dec 08, 2021	310	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	72-73	45%
Dec 11, 2021	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	73-79	31%
Dec 14, 2021	106	@ Minnesota	L	63-84	5%
Dec 18, 2021	308	Lamar	L	71-73	45%
Dec 22, 2021	45	@ Notre Dame	L	61-87	2%
Jan 15, 2022	345	Incarnate Word	W	71-67	61%
Jan 20, 2022	331	McNeese St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 22, 2022	348	Houston Baptist	W	83-78	67%
Jan 27, 2022	325	@ SE Louisiana	L	70-76	32%
Jan 29, 2022	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	74-78	37%
Feb 03, 2022	298	New Orleans	L	78-81	42%
Feb 10, 2022	298	@ New Orleans	L	75-84	25%
Feb 12, 2022	230	@ Nicholls St.	L	71-83	17%
Feb 17, 2022	325	SE Louisiana	W	74-73	50%
Feb 19, 2022	338	Northwestern St.	W	77-75	56%
Feb 24, 2022	331	@ McNeese St.	L	72-77	35%
Feb 26, 2022	348	@ Houston Baptist	L	80-81	48%
Mar 02, 2022	230	Nicholls St.	L	74-80	31%
Mar 05, 2022	345	@ Incarnate Word	L	68-70	42%
Projected Record						9 - 15	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.7	0.8	0.2		6.6	1st
2nd								0.1	1.1	3.4	3.3	1.4	0.2				9.5	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.2	5.2	3.7	0.8	0.0					12.0	3rd
4th					0.0	0.3	3.0	6.3	3.4	0.5	0.0						13.5	4th
5th					0.4	3.9	6.8	3.2	0.3	0.0							14.7	5th
6th			0.0	1.0	4.6	6.7	2.6	0.2									15.1	6th
7th		0.1	1.9	5.6	5.7	1.8	0.1	0.0									15.2	7th
8th	1.2	3.5	4.5	3.2	0.9	0.1											13.3	8th

Total	1.2	3.7	6.4	9.7	11.6	12.7	12.8	12.0	10.0	7.9	5.5	3.5	1.9	0.8	0.2			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
13-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.1
12-2	89.5%	1.7		1.3	0.4	0.0
11-3	59.1%	2.1		1.1	0.8	0.1	0.0
10-4	24.6%	1.4		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0
9-5	5.1%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	6.6%	6.6		3.7	2.1	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.2%		65.4%	65.4%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1
13-1	0.8%		46.5%	46.5%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5
12-2	1.9%		38.7%	38.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.7	1.2
11-3	3.5%		29.1%	29.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.0	2.5
10-4	5.5%		19.1%	19.1%		16.0																0.0	1.1	4.5
9-5	7.9%		12.9%	12.9%		16.0																	1.0	6.9
8-6	10.0%		6.6%	6.6%		16.0																	0.7	9.3
7-7	12.0%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.4	11.6
6-8	12.8%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	12.6
5-9	12.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.6
4-10	11.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
3-11	9.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
2-12	6.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
1-13	3.7%																							3.7
0-14	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		5.8%	5.8%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.2	5.6	94.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%