Preseason Rankings
Wofford
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#139
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.7#294
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 1.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 27.8% 12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 4.7% 0.5%
Average Seed 12.8 11.7 13.3
.500 or above 68.4% 90.4% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 73.3% 88.9% 70.1%
Conference Champion 17.4% 31.3% 14.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 0.8% 3.6%
First Four1.0% 1.8% 0.8%
First Round14.6% 26.9% 12.1%
Second Round3.0% 7.8% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 57 - 10
Quad 411 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 55   @ Clemson L 59-69 17%    
  Nov 19, 2021 329   Hampton W 80-65 92%    
  Nov 21, 2021 245   Georgia Southern W 71-62 79%    
  Nov 23, 2021 104   @ South Carolina L 72-78 30%    
  Nov 28, 2021 133   @ Georgia L 74-78 38%    
  Dec 01, 2021 57   Richmond L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 05, 2021 311   Kennesaw St. W 76-63 86%    
  Dec 08, 2021 225   @ Gardner-Webb W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 12, 2021 190   @ Coastal Carolina W 73-72 50%    
  Dec 18, 2021 319   @ Presbyterian W 70-62 74%    
  Dec 22, 2021 162   @ Duquesne L 68-69 45%    
  Dec 29, 2021 218   VMI W 78-70 74%    
  Jan 01, 2022 149   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-70 42%    
  Jan 05, 2022 135   Chattanooga W 70-67 58%    
  Jan 08, 2022 141   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 12, 2022 255   Samford W 81-71 79%    
  Jan 15, 2022 309   @ Western Carolina W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 19, 2022 272   The Citadel W 83-72 81%    
  Jan 22, 2022 109   Furman W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 26, 2022 135   @ Chattanooga L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 149   UNC Greensboro W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 31, 2022 155   @ Mercer L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 141   East Tennessee St. W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 09, 2022 255   @ Samford W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 309   Western Carolina W 80-67 85%    
  Feb 16, 2022 272   @ The Citadel W 80-75 65%    
  Feb 19, 2022 109   @ Furman L 67-73 33%    
  Feb 23, 2022 218   @ VMI W 75-73 55%    
  Feb 26, 2022 155   Mercer W 72-68 63%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.6 4.6 4.2 2.2 0.7 17.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.4 5.1 4.2 1.7 0.3 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.1 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.4 4.8 6.3 8.0 9.3 10.7 10.7 10.9 9.7 8.3 6.3 4.5 2.2 0.7 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.2    2.2 0.1
16-2 93.2% 4.2    3.5 0.7 0.0
15-3 73.2% 4.6    3.0 1.5 0.1
14-4 43.4% 3.6    1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 16.6% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.4% 17.4 11.6 4.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 81.5% 66.2% 15.4% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 45.4%
17-1 2.2% 68.9% 54.0% 15.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 32.5%
16-2 4.5% 52.5% 46.1% 6.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 11.8%
15-3 6.3% 39.4% 36.6% 2.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 4.5%
14-4 8.3% 27.0% 26.1% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.1 1.2%
13-5 9.7% 20.2% 20.0% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 7.8 0.2%
12-6 10.9% 13.3% 13.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 9.4 0.0%
11-7 10.7% 9.2% 9.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 9.7
10-8 10.7% 6.7% 6.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 9.9
9-9 9.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.9
8-10 8.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8
7-11 6.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.2
6-12 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 3.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 14.1% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.6 3.5 3.2 2.0 1.1 84.9 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 5.0 23.4 32.6 19.1 14.9 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.6 9.0 10.4 10.4 9.0 20.9 10.4 10.4 19.4