Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#173
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#154
Pace68.5#166
Improvement+0.9#94

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#197
First Shot-3.3#285
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#24
Layup/Dunks-1.3#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
Freethrows+0.6#125
Improvement-0.7#262

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#160
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#113
Layups/Dunks-3.1#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#12
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#116
Freethrows-1.0#268
Improvement+1.7#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 23 - 43 - 9
Quad 32 - 75 - 16
Quad 411 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 226   Mercer W 77-75 71%     1 - 0 -4.0 +6.6 -10.5
  Nov 12, 2022 335   Presbyterian W 77-57 89%     2 - 0 +6.2 -0.7 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2022 349   Hampton W 82-73 91%     3 - 0 -6.4 -6.1 -1.0
  Nov 21, 2022 95   Indiana St. L 75-79 30%     3 - 1 +1.1 -4.3 +5.8
  Nov 22, 2022 88   Toledo W 86-75 27%     4 - 1 +17.2 +9.0 +8.1
  Nov 23, 2022 242   Texas Arlington W 79-65 64%     5 - 1 +9.9 +12.7 -1.6
  Nov 26, 2022 167   @ Old Dominion L 50-71 38%     5 - 2 -18.1 -18.6 -0.3
  Nov 29, 2022 351   South Carolina St. L 68-73 92%     5 - 3 -20.9 -12.1 -9.0
  Dec 02, 2022 229   Campbell W 79-69 72%     6 - 3 +3.7 +2.6 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2022 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 61-74 36%     6 - 4 -9.6 -1.0 -10.1
  Dec 11, 2022 344   Coppin St. W 84-75 91%     7 - 4 -5.8 +6.2 -11.7
  Dec 17, 2022 199   South Carolina W 64-56 54%     8 - 4 +6.5 +2.6 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2022 302   High Point W 60-49 83%     9 - 4 +0.5 -23.3 +23.0
  Dec 28, 2022 112   Temple L 57-59 45%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.2 -14.6 +13.4
  Dec 31, 2022 99   @ Wichita St. W 79-69 22%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +17.7 +17.3 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2023 63   Central Florida L 61-64 28%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +2.6 -1.7 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2023 22   @ Memphis L 59-69 7%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +6.1 -7.6 +14.0
  Jan 11, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati L 55-83 12%     10 - 8 1 - 4 -15.5 -10.2 -6.1
  Jan 15, 2023 148   South Florida L 70-81 55%     10 - 9 1 - 5 -12.7 -0.9 -12.1
  Jan 18, 2023 112   @ Temple L 58-73 25%     10 - 10 1 - 6 -8.2 -8.5 -0.3
  Jan 24, 2023 297   Tulsa W 76-66 82%     11 - 10 2 - 6 -0.2 +7.6 -6.5
  Jan 29, 2023 99   Wichita St. L 72-85 42%     11 - 11 2 - 7 -11.2 -1.4 -9.3
  Feb 01, 2023 148   @ South Florida L 63-71 33%     11 - 12 2 - 8 -3.7 -8.1 +4.4
  Feb 04, 2023 169   SMU W 77-72 61%     12 - 12 3 - 8 +1.8 +4.8 -3.0
  Feb 15, 2023 52   Cincinnati W 75-71 25%     13 - 12 4 - 8 +10.6 +8.1 +2.6
  Feb 19, 2023 169   @ SMU L 70-86 38%     13 - 13 4 - 9 -13.3 -4.1 -8.3
  Feb 21, 2023 297   @ Tulsa W 62-60 65%     14 - 13 5 - 9 -2.3 -9.1 +6.9
  Feb 25, 2023 2   Houston L 57-76 7%     14 - 14 5 - 10 -2.9 -1.6 -3.2
  Mar 01, 2023 97   Tulane W 83-68 42%     15 - 14 6 - 10 +16.8 +4.5 +11.4
  Mar 03, 2023 97   @ Tulane L 78-81 22%     15 - 15 6 - 11 +4.8 +4.5 +0.5
  Mar 05, 2023 63   @ Central Florida L 58-84 13%     15 - 16 6 - 12 -14.4 -5.3 -10.3
  Mar 09, 2023 148   South Florida W 73-58 44%     16 - 16 +16.3 +9.4 +8.6
  Mar 10, 2023 2   Houston L 46-60 5%     16 - 17 +5.1 -17.6 +23.0
Projected Record 16 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%