Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#30
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#40
Pace72.7#61
Improvement-1.6#311

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#41
First Shot+3.9#67
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#59
Layup/Dunks+4.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows+0.4#136
Improvement-0.6#242

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#31
First Shot+6.3#30
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#151
Layups/Dunks+5.7#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#20
Freethrows+1.1#92
Improvement-1.0#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.3% n/a n/a
First Round82.8% n/a n/a
Second Round41.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.5% n/a n/a
Final Four2.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 52 - 10
Quad 27 - 29 - 12
Quad 34 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 345   Eastern Illinois W 87-57 99%     1 - 0 +15.1 +1.5 +11.2
  Nov 11, 2022 309   UMKC W 86-48 97%     2 - 0 +26.9 +4.1 +20.3
  Nov 14, 2022 343   Monmouth W 103-65 98%     3 - 0 +23.4 +13.9 +5.3
  Nov 18, 2022 3   UCLA W 79-70 27%     4 - 0 +27.6 +11.0 +15.8
  Nov 20, 2022 32   Virginia L 61-70 52%     4 - 1 +2.8 -0.6 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2022 346   Lindenwood W 92-59 99%     5 - 1 +18.0 +4.1 +10.9
  Nov 29, 2022 103   Syracuse W 73-44 84%     6 - 1 +30.5 +2.0 +29.7
  Dec 02, 2022 25   @ Maryland L 66-71 37%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +10.7 +7.8 +2.4
  Dec 06, 2022 5   Texas W 85-78 OT 32%     7 - 2 +24.0 +10.3 +12.8
  Dec 10, 2022 40   Penn St. L 59-74 66%     7 - 3 0 - 2 -7.2 -7.0 -1.6
  Dec 17, 2022 317   Alabama A&M W 68-47 98%     8 - 3 +9.2 -8.6 +17.9
  Dec 22, 2022 51   Missouri L 71-93 60%     8 - 4 -12.4 -0.8 -12.0
  Dec 29, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 85-52 99%     9 - 4 +17.0 -4.2 +18.1
  Jan 04, 2023 43   @ Northwestern L 60-73 44%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +0.6 -2.9 +3.6
  Jan 07, 2023 61   Wisconsin W 79-69 73%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +15.9 +13.6 +2.5
  Jan 10, 2023 89   @ Nebraska W 76-50 62%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +35.0 +12.2 +23.7
  Jan 13, 2023 31   Michigan St. W 75-66 63%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +17.9 +12.1 +6.5
  Jan 16, 2023 183   @ Minnesota W 78-60 83%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +20.1 +10.4 +10.5
  Jan 19, 2023 24   Indiana L 65-80 60%     13 - 6 4 - 4 -5.2 -2.2 -3.3
  Jan 24, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 69-60 68%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +16.4 +1.6 +15.3
  Jan 28, 2023 61   @ Wisconsin W 61-51 51%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +21.8 +3.2 +19.7
  Jan 31, 2023 89   Nebraska W 72-56 81%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +19.0 -0.3 +18.7
  Feb 04, 2023 34   @ Iowa L 79-81 41%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +12.5 +12.3 +0.1
  Feb 11, 2023 35   Rutgers W 69-60 65%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +17.4 +6.2 +11.3
  Feb 14, 2023 40   @ Penn St. L 81-93 44%     17 - 8 8 - 6 +1.8 +11.3 -9.4
  Feb 18, 2023 24   @ Indiana L 68-71 37%     17 - 9 8 - 7 +12.7 +2.5 +10.2
  Feb 20, 2023 183   Minnesota W 78-69 92%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +5.2 +8.6 -2.9
  Feb 23, 2023 43   Northwestern W 66-62 67%     19 - 9 10 - 7 +11.7 +3.6 +8.3
  Feb 26, 2023 46   @ Ohio St. L 60-72 46%     19 - 10 10 - 8 +1.3 -8.0 +9.0
  Mar 02, 2023 44   Michigan W 91-87 2OT 67%     20 - 10 11 - 8 +11.6 +6.7 +4.2
  Mar 05, 2023 7   @ Purdue L 71-76 24%     20 - 11 11 - 9 +14.8 +11.6 +2.8
  Mar 09, 2023 40   Penn St. L 76-79 55%     20 - 12 +7.8 +8.2 -0.5
  Mar 16, 2023 17   Arkansas L 73-74 46%    
Projected Record 20 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 88.7% 88.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.9 14.3 35.3 34.2 0.5 11.3 88.7%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 88.7% 0.0% 88.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.9 14.3 35.3 34.2 0.5 11.3 88.7%