Pre-tourney Rankings
N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#316
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#295
Pace73.3#45
Improvement-1.8#320

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#306
First Shot-4.0#299
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#231
Layup/Dunks-3.8#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
Freethrows-0.8#244
Improvement-2.3#348

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#299
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#348
Layups/Dunks-0.9#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#281
Freethrows-0.1#204
Improvement+0.6#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 31 - 82 - 13
Quad 48 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 34   @ Iowa L 71-112 3%     0 - 1 -26.5 -9.2 -11.8
  Nov 13, 2022 18   @ Iowa St. L 43-80 2%     0 - 2 -20.8 -17.5 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2022 215   Gardner-Webb L 64-66 26%     0 - 3 -4.1 -3.8 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2022 223   @ Wofford L 64-78 20%     0 - 4 -14.0 -4.8 -11.0
  Nov 30, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro W 73-56 20%     1 - 4 +17.0 +3.9 +13.3
  Dec 13, 2022 2   @ Houston L 46-74 1%     1 - 5 -5.9 -13.6 +6.6
  Dec 17, 2022 303   Texas Southern W 67-66 OT 45%     2 - 5 -6.5 -12.7 +6.1
  Dec 18, 2022 200   Norfolk St. L 66-70 24%     2 - 6 -5.5 -1.5 -4.5
  Dec 21, 2022 188   @ UTEP L 62-75 16%     2 - 7 -11.0 -3.1 -8.5
  Dec 22, 2022 184   New Mexico St. L 76-85 23%     2 - 8 -9.8 +3.7 -13.7
  Dec 29, 2022 299   @ Northeastern L 76-88 34%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -16.4 +7.0 -24.2
  Dec 31, 2022 93   @ Hofstra W 81-79 7%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +10.2 +11.3 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2023 71   College of Charleston L 79-92 10%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -8.0 -1.2 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2023 157   UNC Wilmington L 61-66 28%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -7.6 -9.7 +2.0
  Jan 11, 2023 334   @ Elon W 80-71 46%     4 - 11 2 - 3 +1.3 +1.7 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2023 326   Stony Brook W 61-59 64%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -10.3 -11.7 +1.6
  Jan 16, 2023 349   @ Hampton W 79-67 53%     6 - 11 4 - 3 +2.6 +1.3 +1.4
  Jan 19, 2023 134   Towson L 67-79 23%     6 - 12 4 - 4 -13.0 -1.1 -12.9
  Jan 21, 2023 319   @ William & Mary W 90-86 39%     7 - 12 5 - 4 -1.9 -1.2 -1.4
  Jan 26, 2023 201   Drexel W 68-55 34%     8 - 12 6 - 4 +8.5 -6.9 +15.0
  Jan 28, 2023 343   Monmouth L 64-79 71%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -29.6 -13.9 -15.7
  Feb 02, 2023 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 63-87 13%     8 - 14 6 - 6 -20.6 -6.8 -13.6
  Feb 08, 2023 334   Elon W 66-61 68%     9 - 14 7 - 6 -8.7 -14.2 +5.5
  Feb 11, 2023 326   @ Stony Brook L 59-69 41%     9 - 15 7 - 7 -16.3 -13.6 -3.1
  Feb 13, 2023 343   @ Monmouth L 71-85 50%     9 - 16 7 - 8 -22.6 -3.6 -19.0
  Feb 18, 2023 134   @ Towson L 75-87 11%     9 - 17 7 - 9 -7.0 +0.4 -6.8
  Feb 23, 2023 235   Delaware L 71-73 42%     9 - 18 7 - 10 -8.7 -3.4 -5.4
  Feb 25, 2023 349   Hampton W 73-72 OT 74%     10 - 18 8 - 10 -14.4 -17.6 +3.0
  Mar 04, 2023 326   Stony Brook L 61-76 52%     10 - 19 -24.3 -17.0 -6.9
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%