Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Pace71.4#98
Improvement+1.6#61

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#244
First Shot-2.5#263
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#158
Layup/Dunks-2.7#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
Freethrows+2.0#42
Improvement+0.7#99

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#314
First Shot-2.2#252
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#352
Layups/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#306
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+0.9#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 50 - 10
Quad 34 - 44 - 14
Quad 44 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 193   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 55-75 20%     0 - 1 -18.2 -18.4 +0.2
  Nov 17, 2022 197   Texas St. W 61-56 40%     1 - 1 +0.7 -10.4 +11.4
  Nov 22, 2022 286   Prairie View W 82-75 60%     2 - 1 -2.5 +6.4 -9.1
  Nov 25, 2022 210   Grambling St. L 55-75 42%     2 - 2 -24.9 -16.7 -8.5
  Nov 27, 2022 272   Dartmouth L 77-78 OT 58%     2 - 3 -10.0 -3.8 -6.1
  Nov 28, 2022 342   Incarnate Word W 68-62 77%     3 - 3 -8.5 -3.8 -4.0
  Dec 10, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 76-94 5%     3 - 4 -5.9 +2.5 -7.5
  Dec 13, 2022 70   @ Utah L 70-91 6%     3 - 5 -9.9 -1.1 -7.0
  Dec 18, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 90-69 81%     4 - 5 +5.0 +8.4 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2022 65   North Texas L 54-78 13%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -18.5 -9.3 -11.5
  Dec 29, 2022 163   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-91 17%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -18.9 -3.2 -15.6
  Dec 31, 2022 64   @ UAB L 67-90 5%     4 - 8 0 - 3 -11.4 +0.4 -12.3
  Jan 05, 2023 122   Middle Tennessee W 75-72 26%     5 - 8 1 - 3 +2.8 +10.1 -7.0
  Jan 07, 2023 170   Western Kentucky L 64-74 36%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -13.3 -10.4 -2.9
  Jan 11, 2023 188   @ UTEP L 57-69 20%     5 - 10 1 - 5 -10.0 -5.9 -5.2
  Jan 14, 2023 118   @ Charlotte L 54-72 12%     5 - 11 1 - 6 -12.0 -13.7 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2023 216   Rice L 81-88 OT 43%     5 - 12 1 - 7 -12.1 -7.2 -4.1
  Jan 19, 2023 33   Florida Atlantic L 64-83 8%     5 - 13 1 - 8 -10.4 -5.3 -5.0
  Jan 21, 2023 219   Florida International L 72-77 44%     5 - 14 1 - 9 -10.4 +0.1 -10.8
  Jan 26, 2023 65   @ North Texas L 59-63 5%     5 - 15 1 - 10 +7.5 +4.0 +2.7
  Jan 28, 2023 163   Louisiana Tech L 55-66 35%     5 - 16 1 - 11 -13.9 -7.3 -9.1
  Feb 02, 2023 170   @ Western Kentucky L 74-81 18%     5 - 17 1 - 12 -4.3 -1.9 -2.0
  Feb 04, 2023 122   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-84 12%     5 - 18 1 - 13 -18.3 -10.8 -6.8
  Feb 11, 2023 188   UTEP L 66-77 39%     5 - 19 1 - 14 -14.9 -8.9 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2023 216   @ Rice W 84-79 23%     6 - 19 2 - 14 +5.8 +2.1 +3.3
  Feb 18, 2023 64   UAB L 78-83 12%     6 - 20 2 - 15 +0.6 +5.8 -5.1
  Feb 23, 2023 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-106 3%     6 - 21 2 - 16 -25.4 -5.6 -16.3
  Feb 25, 2023 219   @ Florida International W 95-91 24%     7 - 21 3 - 16 +4.5 +11.6 -7.5
  Mar 02, 2023 118   Charlotte W 78-73 25%     8 - 21 4 - 16 +5.0 +3.5 +1.5
  Mar 08, 2023 216   Rice L 71-72 32%     8 - 22 -3.2 -5.4 +2.2
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%