Preseason Rankings
America East
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
104 Vermont 49.5%   13   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 9 13 - 3 +4.8      +2.6 112 +2.2 115 63.8 306 0.0 1 0.0 1
163 Bryant 21.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 5 +0.2      +2.9 100 -2.7 262 80.0 5 0.0 1 0.0 1
236 Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 13 9 - 7 -3.2      -0.4 191 -2.8 267 70.7 105 0.0 1 0.0 1
238 Umass Lowell 10.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 9 - 7 -3.2      -2.1 246 -1.1 206 68.9 154 0.0 1 0.0 1
300 Albany 3.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -8.2      -6.4 332 -1.8 235 64.6 275 0.0 1 0.0 1
323 Binghamton 1.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 17 6 - 10 -10.0      -4.3 299 -5.7 329 67.8 195 0.0 1 0.0 1
325 NJIT 1.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 10 -10.2      -6.7 338 -3.5 282 66.0 241 0.0 1 0.0 1
329 New Hampshire 1.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 6 - 10 -10.9      -6.4 331 -4.5 306 58.5 358 0.0 1 0.0 1
337 Maine 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 20 5 - 11 -11.7      -10.0 353 -1.6 228 66.2 238 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.8 58.8 21.6 10.4 5.0 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
Bryant 2.8 26.4 27.2 18.1 12.4 7.3 4.4 2.5 1.3 0.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.8 12.5 18.1 19.1 17.0 12.6 9.0 6.0 3.9 1.9
Umass Lowell 3.8 12.0 18.7 19.7 16.4 12.7 8.7 6.1 3.7 2.0
Albany 5.4 3.3 7.1 10.6 13.5 16.0 14.9 14.2 11.9 8.5
Binghamton 6.1 1.5 4.2 7.5 10.6 13.8 15.5 16.3 16.1 14.4
NJIT 6.1 1.5 4.2 7.0 10.5 13.5 15.6 16.3 16.4 14.9
New Hampshire 6.4 1.3 3.3 6.1 9.4 12.4 14.9 17.1 18.1 17.5
Maine 6.6 0.9 2.6 5.4 7.9 11.8 13.9 16.8 19.7 21.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.9 6.1 9.2 12.6 16.4 18.4 17.1 11.6
Bryant 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.2 5.0 6.9 9.4 11.6 13.2 14.0 13.2 10.7 6.6 2.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.0 7.1 9.0 11.0 12.2 12.4 11.9 10.1 7.6 4.7 2.3 0.7
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.6 7.1 9.2 10.7 11.9 13.0 11.8 10.3 7.8 4.6 2.2 0.6
Albany 7 - 9 0.6 2.2 4.2 6.8 9.2 11.2 12.6 12.1 11.4 9.3 7.6 5.7 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
Binghamton 6 - 10 1.3 4.0 6.9 10.1 11.6 12.8 12.6 11.1 9.7 7.4 5.4 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
NJIT 6 - 10 1.6 4.1 7.3 10.0 12.0 12.8 12.8 11.2 9.4 6.9 5.2 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 6 - 10 2.0 5.2 8.4 11.1 13.0 13.0 12.3 10.6 8.4 6.2 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maine 5 - 11 2.5 6.1 10.1 12.4 13.5 13.1 11.5 9.8 7.6 5.5 3.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 58.8% 47.0 10.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bryant 26.4% 17.7 7.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12.5% 7.7 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 12.0% 7.3 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Albany 3.3% 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 1.5% 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
NJIT 1.5% 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 1.3% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
Maine 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 49.5% 48.6% 0.9% 13   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 5.5 11.3 11.8 9.0 5.0 2.6 50.5 1.7%
Bryant 21.6% 21.4% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.0 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.3 78.4 0.3%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.5 2.7 3.0 89.5 0.1%
Umass Lowell 10.5% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 89.5 0.1%
Albany 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7 96.8 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 98.4 0.0%
NJIT 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 98.2 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 98.5 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 49.5% 1.9% 48.5% 9.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryant 21.6% 2.1% 20.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5% 1.6% 9.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.5% 1.5% 9.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 3.2% 1.2% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 0.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.8% 0.7% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.9 1.1 0.0
1st Round 94.7% 1.0 5.4 93.9 0.7 0.0
2nd Round 13.5% 0.1 86.5 13.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5
Elite Eight 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0