Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#337
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.2#238
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 4.0% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 8.1% 38.1% 7.3%
.500 or above in Conference 20.9% 53.4% 20.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 30.0% 9.8% 30.5%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 97 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 98   @ Nebraska L 61-81 3%    
  Nov 14, 2022 86   @ Boston College L 53-74 3%    
  Nov 18, 2022 315   Columbia W 69-68 52%    
  Nov 23, 2022 349   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-65 48%    
  Nov 27, 2022 240   @ Brown L 60-71 17%    
  Nov 30, 2022 202   @ Fordham L 56-69 13%    
  Dec 04, 2022 296   Marist L 61-65 38%    
  Dec 11, 2022 280   @ Merrimack L 54-62 26%    
  Dec 19, 2022 119   @ Akron L 52-70 7%    
  Dec 21, 2022 36   @ Ohio St. L 52-79 2%    
  Dec 28, 2022 167   Harvard L 60-69 24%    
  Jan 05, 2023 238   @ Umass Lowell L 60-71 18%    
  Jan 08, 2023 325   NJIT W 64-62 55%    
  Jan 11, 2023 329   New Hampshire W 61-59 57%    
  Jan 14, 2023 236   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-74 18%    
  Jan 19, 2023 104   @ Vermont L 54-73 6%    
  Jan 22, 2023 323   Binghamton W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 25, 2023 238   Umass Lowell L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 28, 2023 300   @ Albany L 58-65 30%    
  Feb 01, 2023 163   @ Bryant L 66-81 12%    
  Feb 04, 2023 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 08, 2023 104   Vermont L 57-70 14%    
  Feb 11, 2023 325   @ NJIT L 61-65 36%    
  Feb 18, 2023 300   Albany L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 22, 2023 329   @ New Hampshire L 58-62 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 323   @ Binghamton L 64-69 36%    
  Feb 28, 2023 163   Bryant L 69-78 24%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.9 3.5 0.9 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.1 7.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 7.0 6.7 2.5 0.3 19.7 8th
9th 2.5 5.8 7.1 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 21.0 9th
Total 2.5 6.1 10.1 12.4 13.5 13.1 11.5 9.8 7.6 5.5 3.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 87.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 55.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 18.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 5.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 36.5% 36.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 21.0% 21.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.5% 11.4% 11.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.3% 9.9% 9.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
11-5 2.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0
10-6 3.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.5
9-7 5.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
8-8 7.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.5
7-9 9.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
6-10 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-11 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
3-13 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
2-14 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
1-15 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1
0-16 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%