Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#202
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.2#135
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#86
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 14.8
.500 or above 42.2% 50.9% 18.4%
.500 or above in Conference 20.5% 24.8% 8.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.3% 18.6% 36.4%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round1.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 33 - 54 - 13
Quad 411 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 257   Dartmouth W 67-60 73%    
  Nov 11, 2022 11   @ Arkansas L 59-80 3%    
  Nov 15, 2022 329   New Hampshire W 68-55 87%    
  Nov 19, 2022 247   Illinois-Chicago W 72-67 68%    
  Nov 21, 2022 317   Holy Cross W 74-63 82%    
  Nov 22, 2022 359   Stonehill W 76-55 96%    
  Nov 27, 2022 167   Harvard W 67-65 55%    
  Nov 30, 2022 337   Maine W 69-56 87%    
  Dec 03, 2022 82   @ Tulane L 63-75 17%    
  Dec 06, 2022 252   Wagner W 68-62 68%    
  Dec 09, 2022 323   Binghamton W 74-62 83%    
  Dec 11, 2022 349   Central Connecticut St. W 74-58 90%    
  Dec 22, 2022 272   VMI W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 28, 2022 81   Davidson L 63-69 32%    
  Jan 04, 2023 112   @ Rhode Island L 62-70 26%    
  Jan 07, 2023 149   Saint Joseph's W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 10, 2023 28   Dayton L 57-68 19%    
  Jan 14, 2023 182   @ La Salle L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 21, 2023 178   @ Duquesne L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 25, 2023 103   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-70 24%    
  Jan 28, 2023 196   George Washington W 71-68 58%    
  Jan 31, 2023 45   Saint Louis L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 05, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 61-72 19%    
  Feb 08, 2023 124   Massachusetts L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 11, 2023 81   @ Davidson L 60-72 18%    
  Feb 15, 2023 103   St. Bonaventure L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 18, 2023 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-72 16%    
  Feb 22, 2023 54   @ Loyola Chicago L 56-70 13%    
  Feb 25, 2023 112   Rhode Island L 65-67 43%    
  Mar 01, 2023 123   @ George Mason L 61-69 27%    
  Mar 04, 2023 178   Duquesne W 67-65 56%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.3 0.1 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 3.8 1.5 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.6 0.3 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 4.6 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.4 1.1 0.1 12.6 13th
14th 0.5 2.8 5.5 4.2 1.3 0.1 14.4 14th
15th 1.9 4.3 5.1 3.2 0.8 0.1 15.4 15th
Total 1.9 4.8 8.1 10.7 11.8 12.1 11.6 10.0 8.5 6.8 5.1 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 58.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 94.0% 6.0% 88.1% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.7%
16-2 0.2% 71.8% 14.7% 57.1% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 67.0%
15-3 0.3% 35.9% 11.4% 24.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.6%
14-4 0.9% 24.0% 9.3% 14.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 16.2%
13-5 1.3% 11.0% 7.0% 3.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 4.2%
12-6 2.4% 6.5% 5.0% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 1.6%
11-7 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.3%
10-8 5.1% 2.2% 2.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
9-9 6.8% 2.5% 2.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6
8-10 8.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.4
7-11 10.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.8
6-12 11.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.1
4-14 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
3-15 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
2-16 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
1-17 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
0-18 1.9% 1.9
Total 100% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 98.2 0.5%