IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#315
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.0	#60
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.6	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	7.4%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.0	15.3

.500 or above	17.8%	58.7%	17.2%
.500 or above in Conference	14.5%	40.7%	14.2%
Conference Champion	1.4%	7.5%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	50.0%	22.4%	50.3%

First Four	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%
First Round	1.3%	7.3%	1.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.9%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 8	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	43	@ Rutgers	L	59-82	1%
Nov 10, 2022	238	Umass Lowell	L	73-76	39%
Nov 13, 2022	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	75-80	33%
Nov 16, 2022	358	Delaware St.	W	84-71	87%
Nov 18, 2022	337	@ Maine	L	68-69	48%
Nov 23, 2022	323	@ Binghamton	L	74-76	43%
Nov 26, 2022	50	@ Providence	L	61-83	3%
Nov 28, 2022	296	@ Marist	L	69-73	36%
Dec 03, 2022	329	New Hampshire	W	70-65	65%
Dec 06, 2022	236	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	75-78	40%
Dec 09, 2022	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	82-78	61%
Dec 12, 2022	271	@ Lafayette	L	69-75	30%
Dec 28, 2022	361	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	78-63	89%
Dec 31, 2022	146	Yale	L	71-79	27%
Jan 06, 2023	165	Princeton	L	73-79	30%
Jan 07, 2023	150	Penn	L	74-81	28%
Jan 14, 2023	167	@ Harvard	L	67-79	16%
Jan 16, 2023	217	Cornell	L	79-83	37%
Jan 21, 2023	240	@ Brown	L	70-79	23%
Jan 28, 2023	257	@ Dartmouth	L	66-73	28%
Feb 03, 2023	150	@ Penn	L	71-84	14%
Feb 04, 2023	165	@ Princeton	L	70-82	16%
Feb 11, 2023	146	@ Yale	L	68-82	14%
Feb 17, 2023	167	Harvard	L	70-76	31%
Feb 18, 2023	257	Dartmouth	L	69-70	46%
Feb 25, 2023	240	Brown	L	73-76	41%
Mar 04, 2023	217	@ Cornell	L	76-86	21%
Projected Record						10 - 17	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd								0.1	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0				2.7	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.2	2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0					4.2	3rd
4th						0.2	2.0	3.2	1.3	0.1	0.0						6.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	2.8	4.5	1.6	0.1								9.4	5th
6th			0.0	1.3	5.1	5.9	2.0	0.1									14.6	6th
7th		0.6	4.2	8.3	7.4	2.1	0.1										22.7	7th
8th	7.1	12.2	11.3	6.2	1.4	0.1											38.3	8th

Total	7.1	12.8	15.5	15.8	14.4	11.1	8.7	6.1	3.9	2.3	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
12-2	93.3%	0.2		0.2	0.0
11-3	71.5%	0.4		0.3	0.2	0.0
10-4	30.2%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-5	9.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		66.7%	66.7%		11.8							0.0						0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
13-1	0.1%		30.8%	30.8%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
12-2	0.2%		33.1%	33.1%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
11-3	0.6%		26.0%	26.0%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
10-4	1.3%		14.4%	14.4%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1
9-5	2.3%		7.9%	7.9%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.1
8-6	3.9%		6.2%	6.2%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.7
7-7	6.1%		2.6%	2.6%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	5.9
6-8	8.7%		2.3%	2.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	8.5
5-9	11.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	10.9
4-10	14.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	14.3
3-11	15.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	15.7
2-12	15.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.1	15.5
1-13	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
0-14	7.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.1

Total	100%		1.6%	1.6%	0.0%	15.2							0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	98.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%