IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-19.2	#358
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.2	#111
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.4	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-11.8	#362

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	8.5%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	2.1%	40.3%	2.1%
.500 or above in Conference	18.6%	84.5%	18.6%
Conference Champion	0.7%	8.5%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	32.0%	11.6%	32.0%

First Four	0.3%	8.5%	0.3%
First Round	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	5 - 12	6 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	53-87	0.1%
Nov 14, 2022	16	@ Villanova	L	50-87	0.1%
Nov 16, 2022	315	@ Columbia	L	71-84	13%
Nov 20, 2022	31	@ Connecticut	L	55-90	0.2%
Nov 26, 2022	100	@ Liberty	L	57-85	1%
Dec 02, 2022	314	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	69-82	14%
Dec 03, 2022	152	Longwood	L	65-82	8%
Dec 17, 2022	201	@ Drexel	L	62-83	4%
Dec 20, 2022	252	Wagner	L	66-78	16%
Dec 29, 2022	66	@ Penn St.	L	52-83	1%
Jan 07, 2023	332	@ Howard	L	75-86	18%
Jan 09, 2023	190	Norfolk St.	L	65-80	10%
Jan 14, 2023	361	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	70-71	47%
Jan 21, 2023	340	@ NC Central	L	69-79	22%
Jan 23, 2023	356	@ South Carolina St.	L	76-80	38%
Jan 28, 2023	287	Morgan St.	L	74-83	24%
Jan 30, 2023	336	@ Coppin St.	L	74-85	20%
Feb 07, 2023	362	Chicago St.	W	76-70	67%
Feb 11, 2023	332	Howard	L	78-83	34%
Feb 13, 2023	190	@ Norfolk St.	L	62-83	4%
Feb 18, 2023	340	NC Central	L	72-76	38%
Feb 20, 2023	356	South Carolina St.	W	79-77	56%
Feb 25, 2023	287	@ Morgan St.	L	71-86	12%
Feb 27, 2023	336	Coppin St.	L	77-82	36%
Mar 03, 2023	361	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-68	65%
Projected Record						6 - 19	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd							0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.0				2.9	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.4	2.5	1.7	0.4	0.0					6.1	3rd
4th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.3	2.0	0.3	0.0						9.7	4th
5th				0.0	1.1	5.0	6.1	2.2	0.2								14.6	5th
6th			0.2	3.2	8.2	7.0	1.8	0.1									20.5	6th
7th		0.9	6.3	9.9	5.6	1.0	0.0										23.8	7th
8th	3.8	8.0	6.9	2.6	0.4	0.0											21.6	8th

Total	3.8	8.9	13.4	15.7	15.3	13.5	10.8	8.0	5.1	3.0	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
12-2	82.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1
11-3	37.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
10-4	9.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-5	0.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		41.7%	41.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.1%		36.0%	36.0%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.1
12-2	0.2%		16.3%	16.3%		15.9															0.0		0.0	0.2
11-3	0.7%		10.1%	10.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.6
10-4	1.5%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.1	1.5
9-5	3.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	2.9
8-6	5.1%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	5.0
7-7	8.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
6-8	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
5-9	13.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.5
4-10	15.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.3
3-11	15.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.7
2-12	13.4%																							13.4
1-13	8.9%																							8.9
0-14	3.8%																							3.8

Total	100%		0.4%	0.4%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	0.4	99.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.9%