Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#332
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.7#38
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#259
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#356
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 30.6% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 26.3% 75.3% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 94.1% 68.7%
Conference Champion 9.4% 46.2% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 0.0% 4.5%
First Four4.6% 8.1% 4.6%
First Round4.2% 25.3% 4.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 49 - 810 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 3   @ Kentucky L 63-96 0.1%   
  Nov 11, 2022 196   @ George Washington L 73-86 11%    
  Nov 15, 2022 162   James Madison L 77-85 23%    
  Nov 18, 2022 62   Wyoming L 66-86 4%    
  Nov 26, 2022 254   @ Austin Peay L 68-78 21%    
  Nov 30, 2022 146   @ Yale L 69-85 10%    
  Dec 03, 2022 328   @ Hampton L 78-82 39%    
  Dec 11, 2022 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-87 4%    
  Dec 13, 2022 224   Florida International L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 18, 2022 167   @ Harvard L 69-83 13%    
  Dec 21, 2022 267   Mount St. Mary's L 69-72 42%    
  Dec 29, 2022 182   La Salle L 72-80 27%    
  Jan 07, 2023 358   Delaware St. W 86-75 82%    
  Jan 09, 2023 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 14, 2023 190   @ Norfolk St. L 69-82 14%    
  Jan 21, 2023 287   Morgan St. L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 23, 2023 336   Coppin St. W 84-81 61%    
  Jan 28, 2023 340   NC Central W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 30, 2023 356   South Carolina St. W 86-76 79%    
  Feb 11, 2023 358   @ Delaware St. W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 13, 2023 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-67 85%    
  Feb 18, 2023 336   @ Coppin St. L 81-84 42%    
  Feb 20, 2023 287   @ Morgan St. L 78-85 31%    
  Feb 25, 2023 340   @ NC Central L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 27, 2023 356   @ South Carolina St. W 83-79 63%    
  Mar 02, 2023 190   Norfolk St. L 72-79 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.5 9.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.9 7.1 5.4 1.7 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 7.0 8.1 3.5 0.3 21.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.7 5.9 1.5 0.0 18.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.1 1.5 0.2 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.5 5.8 8.6 11.2 13.5 14.2 13.6 11.4 8.2 5.0 2.2 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.2    1.8 0.4
12-2 66.2% 3.3    1.9 1.4 0.1
11-3 30.2% 2.5    0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0
10-4 6.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0
9-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 63.8% 63.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
13-1 2.2% 43.8% 43.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2
12-2 5.0% 27.7% 27.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.6
11-3 8.2% 18.5% 18.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 6.7
10-4 11.4% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.1 1.2 10.2
9-5 13.6% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.8
8-6 14.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.8
7-7 13.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.3
6-8 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.1
5-9 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-10 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-11 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-12 1.6% 1.6
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.9 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%