IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.6	#328
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#98
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.3	#300

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#337

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	1.9%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	8.5%	28.9%	6.3%
.500 or above in Conference	13.0%	30.8%	11.1%
Conference Champion	0.4%	1.8%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	35.2%	15.7%	37.3%

First Four	0.3%	0.6%	0.3%
First Round	0.4%	1.5%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2022	162	@ James Madison	L	70-84	10%
Nov 16, 2022	192	@ East Carolina	L	67-80	13%
Nov 21, 2022	129	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	64-80	7%
Nov 22, 2022	309	North Alabama	L	72-74	44%
Nov 26, 2022	67	@ Wake Forest	L	67-89	3%
Nov 30, 2022	106	@ Georgia	L	69-87	6%
Dec 03, 2022	332	Howard	W	82-78	61%
Dec 07, 2022	297	Loyola Maryland	W	69-68	51%
Dec 11, 2022	234	Bowling Green	L	80-84	35%
Dec 17, 2022	190	Norfolk St.	L	67-77	21%
Dec 18, 2022	241	Texas Southern	L	69-76	27%
Dec 29, 2022	151	@ College of Charleston	L	75-90	12%
Dec 31, 2022	179	@ UNC Wilmington	L	66-79	14%
Jan 05, 2023	141	Hofstra	L	73-82	23%
Jan 07, 2023	199	Northeastern	L	66-72	31%
Jan 11, 2023	295	@ William & Mary	L	72-78	32%
Jan 16, 2023	270	N.C. A&T	L	72-74	44%
Jan 19, 2023	201	@ Drexel	L	66-78	16%
Jan 21, 2023	260	@ Monmouth	L	67-75	25%
Jan 26, 2023	153	Delaware	L	69-77	25%
Jan 28, 2023	258	Stony Brook	L	74-77	42%
Feb 02, 2023	295	William & Mary	W	76-75	51%
Feb 04, 2023	190	Norfolk St.	L	67-77	22%
Feb 08, 2023	118	@ Towson	L	62-79	9%
Feb 11, 2023	151	College of Charleston	L	78-87	25%
Feb 13, 2023	302	@ Elon	L	68-73	33%
Feb 16, 2023	141	@ Hofstra	L	70-85	12%
Feb 18, 2023	201	Drexel	L	69-75	31%
Feb 23, 2023	260	Monmouth	L	70-72	43%
Feb 25, 2023	270	@ N.C. A&T	L	69-77	27%
Projected Record						8 - 22	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.3	3rd
4th										0.1	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0						2.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0							2.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0								3.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	2.3	1.8	0.3	0.0									5.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	2.7	2.6	0.6	0.0										6.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.7	2.9	3.5	1.0	0.1											8.2	9th
10th				0.1	1.0	3.7	4.4	1.6	0.1												11.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.7	5.0	5.4	2.0	0.2													14.5	11th
12th		0.6	3.5	6.6	5.7	2.1	0.2														18.7	12th
13th	3.7	7.2	7.7	4.7	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.0													25.1	13th

Total	3.7	7.9	11.4	13.1	13.2	12.1	10.2	8.7	6.7	4.8	3.4	2.1	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	86.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	60.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	30.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
13-5	7.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	11.5											0.0			0.0				0.0		10.0%
16-2	0.1%		19.2%	19.2%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.2%		9.6%	9.6%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
14-4	0.4%		4.7%	4.7%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
13-5	0.8%		8.9%	8.9%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
12-6	1.3%		5.8%	5.8%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2
11-7	2.1%		3.6%	3.6%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.1
10-8	3.4%		2.8%	2.8%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	3.3
9-9	4.8%		1.4%	1.4%		15.8																0.0	0.1	4.7
8-10	6.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.6
7-11	8.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
6-12	10.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
5-13	12.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
4-14	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
3-15	13.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
2-16	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
1-17	7.9%																							7.9
0-18	3.7%																							3.7

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.4											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%