Preseason Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#234
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.3#4
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.8
.500 or above 42.8% 55.8% 22.9%
.500 or above in Conference 42.4% 51.7% 28.1%
Conference Champion 3.9% 5.6% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 7.2% 17.5%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round4.0% 5.4% 1.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Home) - 60.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 231   Air Force W 74-71 60%    
  Nov 11, 2022 214   @ Oakland L 80-84 35%    
  Nov 15, 2022 171   @ Wright St. L 80-86 30%    
  Nov 19, 2022 103   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-83 18%    
  Nov 22, 2022 40   @ Notre Dame L 71-88 7%    
  Nov 26, 2022 339   Southern Indiana W 85-73 85%    
  Nov 29, 2022 321   Queens W 86-76 79%    
  Dec 03, 2022 287   Morgan St. W 89-81 73%    
  Dec 11, 2022 328   @ Hampton W 84-80 65%    
  Dec 14, 2022 190   @ Norfolk St. L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 17, 2022 352   Tennessee Martin W 92-76 90%    
  Jan 03, 2023 226   @ Eastern Michigan L 82-85 40%    
  Jan 07, 2023 144   Ohio L 79-81 45%    
  Jan 10, 2023 119   Akron L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 14, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 17, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 82-90 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 269   Miami (OH) W 85-79 67%    
  Jan 24, 2023 263   @ Central Michigan L 80-81 48%    
  Jan 28, 2023 108   @ Toledo L 78-89 20%    
  Jan 31, 2023 200   Ball St. W 85-84 54%    
  Feb 04, 2023 294   Northern Illinois W 82-74 73%    
  Feb 07, 2023 120   @ Kent St. L 73-83 22%    
  Feb 11, 2023 200   @ Ball St. L 82-87 35%    
  Feb 14, 2023 263   Central Michigan W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 18, 2023 108   Toledo L 81-86 36%    
  Feb 21, 2023 269   @ Miami (OH) L 81-82 49%    
  Feb 25, 2023 120   Kent St. L 76-80 39%    
  Feb 28, 2023 226   Eastern Michigan W 85-82 59%    
  Mar 03, 2023 144   @ Ohio L 76-84 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.5 1.4 2.2 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.8 12th
Total 0.5 1.6 3.1 5.1 7.2 8.7 9.7 10.8 11.0 10.2 8.9 7.4 5.7 4.3 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 90.6% 0.8    0.6 0.2
15-3 67.1% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 35.1% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 59.1% 40.9% 18.2% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.9%
17-1 0.3% 49.0% 41.5% 7.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.7%
16-2 0.9% 28.4% 26.9% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1%
15-3 1.8% 23.9% 23.4% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.7%
14-4 2.8% 18.3% 18.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3
13-5 4.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7
12-6 5.7% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.2
11-7 7.4% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.9
10-8 8.9% 5.3% 5.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 8.5
9-9 10.2% 3.1% 3.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.9
8-10 11.0% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
7-11 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
6-12 9.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
5-13 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-15 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
1-17 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 95.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%