Preseason Rankings
Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#339
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#171
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 16.0 15.8
.500 or above 18.5% 62.8% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 35.8% 75.1% 35.3%
Conference Champion 2.9% 13.4% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 1.4% 15.0%
First Four0.0% 0.6% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 49 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 70   @ Missouri L 58-81 1%    
  Nov 13, 2022 138   Southern Illinois L 58-69 16%    
  Nov 16, 2022 40   @ Notre Dame L 57-83 1%    
  Nov 22, 2022 103   @ St. Bonaventure L 58-78 5%    
  Nov 26, 2022 234   @ Bowling Green L 73-85 15%    
  Nov 30, 2022 288   @ Western Illinois L 71-79 26%    
  Dec 04, 2022 362   @ Chicago St. W 72-65 70%    
  Dec 11, 2022 161   Indiana St. L 67-77 22%    
  Dec 19, 2022 333   IUPUI L 65-66 47%    
  Dec 20, 2022 197   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-79 12%    
  Dec 29, 2022 281   Southeast Missouri St. L 76-78 43%    
  Dec 31, 2022 330   @ Eastern Illinois L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 05, 2023 187   @ Morehead St. L 58-73 12%    
  Jan 07, 2023 326   SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 12, 2023 261   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 14, 2023 352   Tennessee Martin W 77-70 70%    
  Jan 19, 2023 355   @ Lindenwood W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 21, 2023 326   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 26, 2023 330   Eastern Illinois W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 28, 2023 352   @ Tennessee Martin W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 02, 2023 276   Tennessee St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 04, 2023 187   Morehead St. L 61-70 25%    
  Feb 09, 2023 305   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-77 30%    
  Feb 11, 2023 355   Lindenwood W 75-67 72%    
  Feb 16, 2023 261   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-75 22%    
  Feb 18, 2023 281   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 73-81 26%    
  Feb 23, 2023 305   Tennessee Tech L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 25, 2023 276   @ Tennessee St. L 67-76 24%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.3 5.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.0 4.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 13.6 9th
10th 0.7 1.9 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.6 10th
Total 0.7 2.0 3.9 6.5 8.6 9.9 10.7 10.9 10.9 9.3 7.9 6.6 4.8 3.3 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 68.4% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 37.6% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.2
16-2 0.6% 0.6
15-3 1.1% 1.1
14-4 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
13-5 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.3
12-6 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
11-7 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
10-8 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
9-9 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
8-10 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
7-11 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 6.5% 6.5
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%