IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.9	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.8	#307
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.7	#330

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	21.7%	3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.1	15.6

.500 or above	23.3%	75.7%	23.2%
.500 or above in Conference	44.6%	88.6%	44.4%
Conference Champion	4.3%	24.0%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	10.9%	0.8%	10.9%

First Four	1.8%	4.0%	1.8%
First Round	2.7%	20.2%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	1.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	18	@ Illinois	L	55-84	0.3%
Nov 10, 2022	180	Illinois St.	L	66-74	25%
Nov 13, 2022	263	@ Central Michigan	L	66-74	23%
Nov 16, 2022	36	@ Ohio St.	L	55-81	1%
Nov 25, 2022	144	@ Ohio	L	62-77	10%
Nov 26, 2022	354	Alabama St.	W	72-66	68%
Nov 30, 2022	294	Northern Illinois	W	68-67	50%
Dec 07, 2022	200	Ball St.	L	69-76	29%
Dec 10, 2022	288	Western Illinois	L	73-74	49%
Dec 17, 2022	333	@ IUPUI	L	63-66	42%
Dec 21, 2022	29	@ Iowa	L	61-88	2%
Dec 29, 2022	355	Lindenwood	W	74-65	76%
Dec 31, 2022	339	Southern Indiana	W	70-66	63%
Jan 05, 2023	305	@ Tennessee Tech	L	69-75	33%
Jan 07, 2023	187	@ Morehead St.	L	58-71	14%
Jan 12, 2023	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	70-68	57%
Jan 14, 2023	261	Arkansas Little Rock	L	67-70	42%
Jan 19, 2023	276	@ Tennessee St.	L	66-74	27%
Jan 21, 2023	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	73-71	56%
Jan 26, 2023	339	@ Southern Indiana	L	67-69	45%
Jan 28, 2023	281	Southeast Missouri St.	L	75-76	46%
Feb 02, 2023	355	@ Lindenwood	W	71-68	59%
Feb 04, 2023	276	Tennessee St.	L	69-71	45%
Feb 09, 2023	352	Tennessee Martin	W	76-68	73%
Feb 11, 2023	326	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	67-71	39%
Feb 16, 2023	281	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-79	29%
Feb 18, 2023	261	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	64-73	25%
Feb 23, 2023	187	Morehead St.	L	61-68	28%
Feb 25, 2023	305	Tennessee Tech	W	73-72	52%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.3	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	2.3	1.7	0.6	0.1				6.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.2	3.0	3.2	1.5	0.2	0.0					9.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.1	3.5	1.2	0.1							10.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.6	5.2	3.4	0.8	0.1								12.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.8	3.3	5.4	3.0	0.6	0.0									13.2	6th
7th					0.1	1.3	4.2	5.2	2.2	0.4	0.0										13.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.0	4.3	4.0	1.7	0.2	0.0											12.6	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.3	3.7	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0												10.2	9th
10th	0.4	1.2	2.1	1.9	1.1	0.2	0.0														6.8	10th

Total	0.4	1.2	2.8	4.5	6.9	8.3	9.9	10.7	10.7	10.6	9.4	7.8	6.2	4.5	3.0	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	88.4%	0.8		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	66.6%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	36.5%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.1%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.3%	4.3		2.5	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		58.0%	58.0%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.3%		47.6%	47.6%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
16-2	1.0%		36.2%	36.2%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.6
15-3	1.8%		27.0%	27.0%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.3
14-4	3.0%		18.0%	18.0%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	2.5
13-5	4.5%		13.2%	13.2%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	3.9
12-6	6.2%		7.9%	7.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	5.7
11-7	7.8%		5.0%	5.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	7.4
10-8	9.4%		3.5%	3.5%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.0
9-9	10.6%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.4
8-10	10.7%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
7-11	10.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
6-12	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
5-13	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
4-14	6.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
3-15	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
2-16	2.8%																							2.8
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	2.6	96.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%