Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.9#151
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 6.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.7 14.8
.500 or above 22.4% 56.8% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 58.0% 29.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 7.0% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 18.7% 4.8% 19.5%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.7%
First Round1.9% 5.7% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 13
Quad 48 - 510 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 63   @ Marquette L 68-86 5%    
  Nov 13, 2022 330   Eastern Illinois W 74-66 77%    
  Nov 17, 2022 90   @ Minnesota L 63-78 10%    
  Nov 21, 2022 255   High Point L 70-71 47%    
  Nov 26, 2022 193   @ California Baptist L 69-77 26%    
  Dec 07, 2022 277   Robert Morris W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 10, 2022 136   @ Tulsa L 65-76 19%    
  Dec 18, 2022 131   @ Missouri St. L 68-79 18%    
  Dec 21, 2022 223   Youngstown St. W 75-74 50%    
  Dec 29, 2022 15   @ Michigan L 61-84 3%    
  Jan 03, 2023 269   Miami (OH) W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 07, 2023 226   @ Eastern Michigan L 73-79 33%    
  Jan 10, 2023 294   @ Northern Illinois L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 133   Buffalo L 75-80 35%    
  Jan 17, 2023 119   Akron L 64-70 31%    
  Jan 21, 2023 144   @ Ohio L 68-78 21%    
  Jan 24, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 81-80 52%    
  Jan 28, 2023 262   Western Michigan W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 31, 2023 120   @ Kent St. L 65-77 17%    
  Feb 04, 2023 108   @ Toledo L 69-82 15%    
  Feb 07, 2023 200   Ball St. L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 11, 2023 269   @ Miami (OH) L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 14, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green L 78-83 34%    
  Feb 18, 2023 144   Ohio L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 21, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 72-83 20%    
  Feb 25, 2023 294   Northern Illinois W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 28, 2023 108   Toledo L 72-79 29%    
  Mar 03, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan L 68-71 41%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.1 1.3 0.2 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.8 11th
12th 1.1 2.7 3.9 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.4 12th
Total 1.1 2.8 5.3 7.6 9.3 10.8 11.4 10.9 9.8 8.9 7.0 5.3 4.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 60.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 30.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 67.4% 56.5% 10.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0%
17-1 0.1% 37.7% 31.6% 6.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.0%
16-2 0.4% 27.9% 25.4% 2.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4%
15-3 0.8% 17.9% 17.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.7% 14.3% 14.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4
13-5 2.6% 11.0% 11.0% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 0.1%
12-6 4.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 5.3% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.0
10-8 7.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.8
9-9 8.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.6
8-10 9.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 11.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.3
5-13 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
4-14 9.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.3
1-17 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%