Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#226
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.9#62
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#196
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 12.3% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 12.1 14.2
.500 or above 31.7% 68.2% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 73.2% 42.8%
Conference Champion 4.0% 12.5% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 2.1% 11.2%
First Four1.0% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round4.0% 11.5% 3.5%
Second Round0.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Neutral) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 13
Quad 48 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 15   Michigan L 66-84 5%    
  Nov 15, 2022 117   @ Bradley L 69-79 20%    
  Nov 19, 2022 214   @ Oakland L 74-78 36%    
  Nov 22, 2022 197   Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-77 44%    
  Nov 27, 2022 264   UC San Diego W 79-73 68%    
  Nov 30, 2022 224   @ Florida International L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 04, 2022 125   Florida Atlantic L 74-77 40%    
  Dec 07, 2022 180   @ Illinois St. L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 11, 2022 239   @ Niagara L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 18, 2022 229   Detroit Mercy W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 30, 2022 87   @ South Carolina L 70-83 15%    
  Jan 03, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 85-82 60%    
  Jan 07, 2023 263   Central Michigan W 79-73 67%    
  Jan 10, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 14, 2023 119   @ Akron L 64-73 23%    
  Jan 17, 2023 120   Kent St. L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 21, 2023 294   Northern Illinois W 77-69 74%    
  Jan 24, 2023 108   @ Toledo L 73-83 20%    
  Jan 28, 2023 269   @ Miami (OH) L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 31, 2023 144   Ohio L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 04, 2023 200   @ Ball St. L 76-81 36%    
  Feb 07, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 76-84 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 108   Toledo L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 14, 2023 119   Akron L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 120   @ Kent St. L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 21, 2023 262   Western Michigan W 74-68 67%    
  Feb 25, 2023 200   Ball St. W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 28, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green L 82-85 41%    
  Mar 03, 2023 294   @ Northern Illinois W 74-72 56%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.5 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 2.9 4.8 6.7 8.4 9.8 10.6 10.8 10.2 9.2 8.1 6.3 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.8    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 65.2% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-4 33.3% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 10.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 69.6% 40.2% 29.4% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.2%
17-1 0.3% 56.3% 40.8% 15.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.2%
16-2 0.9% 36.7% 30.4% 6.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 9.1%
15-3 1.7% 19.6% 17.7% 1.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 2.3%
14-4 3.0% 14.9% 14.6% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.3%
13-5 4.5% 12.6% 12.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9 0.1%
12-6 6.3% 9.0% 9.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.7
11-7 8.1% 7.0% 7.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 7.5
10-8 9.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8.8
9-9 10.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.9
8-10 10.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.5
7-11 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
6-12 9.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.8
5-13 8.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 6.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-16 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.4% 4.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 95.6 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 20.0 60.0 20.0
Lose Out 0.1%