Preseason Rankings
South Carolina
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#87
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.3#31
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 5.7% 5.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 19.0% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.8% 16.9% 1.3%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 10.7
.500 or above 47.2% 47.3% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 29.1% 7.2%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 18.5% 48.3%
First Four2.9% 2.9% 0.6%
First Round17.5% 17.6% 1.9%
Second Round9.2% 9.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 99.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 14
Quad 45 - 014 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 356   South Carolina St. W 91-63 99.6%   
  Nov 11, 2022 65   Clemson W 72-71 54%    
  Nov 17, 2022 78   Colorado St. L 72-73 47%    
  Nov 25, 2022 345   South Carolina Upstate W 86-63 97%    
  Nov 30, 2022 196   @ George Washington W 78-73 66%    
  Dec 03, 2022 102   @ Georgetown L 77-78 46%    
  Dec 11, 2022 310   Presbyterian W 78-59 94%    
  Dec 14, 2022 60   @ UAB L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 17, 2022 192   East Carolina W 77-69 73%    
  Dec 22, 2022 107   Western Kentucky W 78-73 66%    
  Dec 30, 2022 226   Eastern Michigan W 83-70 85%    
  Jan 03, 2023 72   @ Vanderbilt L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 07, 2023 10   Tennessee L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 10, 2023 3   @ Kentucky L 68-83 12%    
  Jan 14, 2023 39   Texas A&M L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 17, 2023 58   Mississippi W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 21, 2023 21   Auburn L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 25, 2023 30   @ Florida L 67-76 24%    
  Jan 28, 2023 106   @ Georgia L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 31, 2023 64   Mississippi St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 04, 2023 11   Arkansas L 73-80 30%    
  Feb 07, 2023 70   @ Missouri L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 11, 2023 58   @ Mississippi L 67-73 33%    
  Feb 14, 2023 72   Vanderbilt W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 18, 2023 47   @ LSU L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 22, 2023 22   Alabama L 79-83 37%    
  Feb 25, 2023 10   @ Tennessee L 66-79 15%    
  Feb 28, 2023 64   @ Mississippi St. L 68-73 34%    
  Mar 04, 2023 106   Georgia W 80-75 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.6 4.1 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.3 13th
14th 1.2 3.3 3.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.2 14th
Total 1.2 3.5 5.6 8.1 10.0 10.9 11.5 10.6 9.5 8.7 6.7 5.1 3.6 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 92.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 85.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 52.7% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 53.6% 46.4% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 26.2% 73.8% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 99.6% 15.6% 84.1% 3.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
14-4 1.4% 97.9% 10.5% 87.4% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
13-5 2.4% 95.7% 9.3% 86.5% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.3%
12-6 3.6% 89.0% 7.5% 81.5% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 88.1%
11-7 5.1% 70.9% 5.5% 65.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 69.2%
10-8 6.7% 48.9% 3.9% 45.1% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 46.9%
9-9 8.7% 26.9% 3.0% 23.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 24.6%
8-10 9.5% 9.3% 2.8% 6.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 6.8%
7-11 10.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.3 1.1%
6-12 11.5% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.3 0.1%
5-13 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
4-14 10.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
3-15 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.1
2-16 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.5
1-17 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 18.9% 2.5% 16.4% 8.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 81.1 16.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 67.7 32.3