Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#310
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.2#337
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 5.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 20.0% 38.5% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.8% 47.6% 25.8%
Conference Champion 2.6% 5.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 17.5% 8.7% 20.9%
First Four1.0% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round2.0% 4.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 910 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 265   @ The Citadel L 68-75 27%    
  Nov 12, 2022 192   @ East Carolina L 61-72 16%    
  Nov 16, 2022 60   @ UAB L 60-81 3%    
  Nov 21, 2022 274   Bucknell L 69-72 40%    
  Nov 26, 2022 164   @ Charlotte L 60-72 15%    
  Nov 29, 2022 272   VMI L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 01, 2022 181   @ Wofford L 59-71 17%    
  Dec 06, 2022 151   College of Charleston L 71-78 29%    
  Dec 11, 2022 87   @ South Carolina L 59-78 6%    
  Dec 15, 2022 302   Elon W 66-64 57%    
  Dec 29, 2022 256   Campbell L 61-62 46%    
  Dec 31, 2022 293   @ Radford L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 04, 2023 174   @ Winthrop L 63-75 17%    
  Jan 07, 2023 335   Charleston Southern W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 11, 2023 237   Gardner-Webb L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 14, 2023 255   @ High Point L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 18, 2023 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 21, 2023 152   Longwood L 63-70 29%    
  Jan 25, 2023 211   @ UNC Asheville L 63-73 21%    
  Jan 28, 2023 174   Winthrop L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 01, 2023 293   Radford W 64-62 56%    
  Feb 04, 2023 237   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-69 25%    
  Feb 08, 2023 152   @ Longwood L 60-73 16%    
  Feb 11, 2023 211   UNC Asheville L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 15, 2023 255   High Point L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 18, 2023 256   @ Campbell L 58-65 29%    
  Feb 22, 2023 345   South Carolina Upstate W 71-64 71%    
  Feb 25, 2023 335   @ Charleston Southern L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.0 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.4 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 14.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.3 4.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 15.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.9 2.5 3.6 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.8 10th
Total 0.9 2.6 5.0 7.4 9.2 10.5 11.3 11.2 10.0 8.6 7.4 5.7 4.1 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 71.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 40.7% 40.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 45.4% 45.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 29.3% 29.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 26.2% 26.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 1.7% 18.0% 18.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4
13-5 2.8% 10.1% 10.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5
12-6 4.1% 8.6% 8.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.8
11-7 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.3
10-8 7.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.1
9-9 8.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.4
8-10 10.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
7-11 11.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.3
5-13 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-15 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
2-16 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
1-17 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.5 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%