IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#255
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#219
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#260

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.2%	12.2%	4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	15.1

.500 or above	48.7%	67.0%	33.3%
.500 or above in Conference	61.2%	73.8%	50.6%
Conference Champion	9.7%	14.8%	5.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	2.5%	7.8%

First Four	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%
First Round	7.4%	11.4%	4.1%
Second Round	0.5%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 6	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2022	181	Wofford	L	67-68	46%
Nov 18, 2022	105	@ UNLV	L	62-74	14%
Nov 21, 2022	263	Central Michigan	W	71-70	53%
Nov 30, 2022	302	Elon	W	71-64	71%
Dec 03, 2022	243	North Florida	W	73-71	56%
Dec 06, 2022	96	@ Furman	L	62-76	13%
Dec 09, 2022	321	Queens	W	75-67	75%
Dec 18, 2022	179	@ UNC Wilmington	L	65-72	28%
Dec 21, 2022	192	@ East Carolina	L	66-73	29%
Dec 29, 2022	152	@ Longwood	L	65-73	25%
Dec 31, 2022	237	Gardner-Webb	W	68-66	55%
Jan 04, 2023	211	UNC Asheville	W	71-70	51%
Jan 07, 2023	345	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	73-68	67%
Jan 11, 2023	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	73-69	62%
Jan 14, 2023	310	Presbyterian	W	69-62	72%
Jan 18, 2023	174	Winthrop	L	71-72	46%
Jan 21, 2023	293	@ Radford	W	66-65	51%
Jan 25, 2023	256	Campbell	W	65-62	60%
Jan 28, 2023	237	@ Gardner-Webb	L	65-69	36%
Feb 01, 2023	211	@ UNC Asheville	L	68-74	32%
Feb 04, 2023	335	Charleston Southern	W	76-66	78%
Feb 08, 2023	256	@ Campbell	L	62-65	41%
Feb 11, 2023	152	Longwood	L	68-70	42%
Feb 15, 2023	310	@ Presbyterian	W	66-65	54%
Feb 18, 2023	345	South Carolina Upstate	W	76-65	81%
Feb 22, 2023	293	Radford	W	69-63	69%
Feb 25, 2023	174	@ Winthrop	L	68-75	28%
Projected Record						13 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	2.2	2.7	2.0	1.1	0.3		9.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	2.5	4.0	3.1	1.1	0.2				11.6	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.3	3.7	4.4	2.4	0.5	0.0					12.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.8	4.5	1.7	0.2	0.0						13.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.5	5.0	3.9	1.1	0.1								12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.8	4.9	3.2	0.7	0.0									12.2	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	2.9	4.0	2.2	0.4	0.0										10.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.1	2.7	3.0	1.3	0.2	0.0											8.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	1.7	0.7	0.1													5.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0													3.2	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.3	3.6	5.5	7.2	8.5	10.0	10.6	10.7	10.0	8.9	7.7	5.8	3.8	2.2	1.1	0.3			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.0
16-2	91.3%	2.0		1.7	0.4	0.0
15-3	71.1%	2.7		1.7	0.9	0.1
14-4	38.3%	2.2		0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0
13-5	14.6%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.7%	9.7		5.9	2.9	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		61.7%	58.7%	2.9%	11.9						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1		7.1%
17-1	1.1%		57.5%	55.8%	1.7%	12.8										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		3.8%
16-2	2.2%		35.0%	34.7%	0.3%	13.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.4		0.5%
15-3	3.8%		29.8%	29.8%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	2.7
14-4	5.8%		21.9%	21.9%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	4.5
13-5	7.7%		15.2%	15.2%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	6.5
12-6	8.9%		10.5%	10.5%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	8.0
11-7	10.0%		7.8%	7.8%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	9.3
10-8	10.7%		5.8%	5.8%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	10.1
9-9	10.6%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.3
8-10	10.0%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.8
7-11	8.5%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	8.4
6-12	7.2%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
5-13	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
4-14	3.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.2%	8.2%	0.0%	14.6						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.8	2.0	2.7	91.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	80.4%	9.0					9.8			9.8	41.2		9.8	9.8
Lose Out	0.1%