IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.9	#293
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.8	#324
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#317

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#255

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.6%	11.6%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.2	15.2

.500 or above	21.6%	59.8%	20.4%
.500 or above in Conference	39.0%	71.0%	38.0%
Conference Champion	3.5%	12.6%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	13.4%	2.2%	13.8%

First Four	1.3%	2.1%	1.3%
First Round	2.9%	10.2%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.7%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 8	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	63	@ Marquette	L	61-81	3%
Nov 10, 2022	40	@ Notre Dame	L	56-78	2%
Nov 20, 2022	266	Army	L	67-69	42%
Nov 23, 2022	295	@ William & Mary	L	67-70	41%
Nov 27, 2022	302	@ Elon	L	63-66	41%
Dec 01, 2022	340	NC Central	W	70-62	74%
Dec 04, 2022	196	George Washington	L	66-70	38%
Dec 10, 2022	272	@ VMI	L	68-73	34%
Dec 14, 2022	75	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	56-75	6%
Dec 17, 2022	219	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	67-76	24%
Dec 21, 2022	68	@ Kansas St.	L	56-75	6%
Dec 29, 2022	211	@ UNC Asheville	L	63-72	23%
Dec 31, 2022	310	Presbyterian	W	65-61	63%
Jan 04, 2023	345	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-64	74%
Jan 07, 2023	237	@ Gardner-Webb	L	60-68	27%
Jan 11, 2023	174	@ Winthrop	L	63-74	20%
Jan 14, 2023	335	Charleston Southern	W	71-65	70%
Jan 18, 2023	256	@ Campbell	L	58-64	31%
Jan 21, 2023	255	High Point	L	65-66	49%
Jan 25, 2023	152	Longwood	L	63-69	33%
Jan 28, 2023	345	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	69-67	57%
Feb 01, 2023	310	@ Presbyterian	L	62-64	44%
Feb 04, 2023	174	Winthrop	L	66-71	36%
Feb 08, 2023	237	Gardner-Webb	L	63-65	45%
Feb 11, 2023	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	69-68	51%
Feb 15, 2023	211	UNC Asheville	L	66-69	41%
Feb 18, 2023	152	@ Longwood	L	60-72	18%
Feb 22, 2023	255	@ High Point	L	63-69	31%
Feb 25, 2023	256	Campbell	L	61-62	50%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1		3.5	1st
2nd										0.0	0.0	0.4	1.6	2.0	1.3	0.4	0.1				5.8	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.0	2.6	2.8	1.1	0.2	0.0					7.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.6	3.7	3.1	0.9	0.1							9.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.4	4.6	3.1	0.7	0.1								11.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.2	5.4	3.0	0.6	0.0									12.9	6th
7th					0.1	1.3	4.3	5.4	2.5	0.4	0.0										14.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.4	2.4	4.8	4.5	1.7	0.2	0.0											14.0	8th
9th		0.1	0.9	3.0	4.3	3.0	0.9	0.1	0.0												12.2	9th
10th	0.5	1.6	2.7	2.3	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0													8.7	10th

Total	0.5	1.7	3.6	5.7	8.0	9.5	10.4	10.9	10.8	9.7	8.5	6.9	5.4	3.8	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	92.2%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	72.8%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	39.7%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.8%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		2.1	1.1	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		53.5%	53.5%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.2%		38.6%	38.6%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.7%		38.5%	38.5%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
15-3	1.4%		27.4%	27.4%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.0
14-4	2.4%		20.6%	20.6%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.9
13-5	3.8%		13.1%	13.1%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.3
12-6	5.4%		9.2%	9.2%		15.3															0.1	0.2	0.3	4.9
11-7	6.9%		5.9%	5.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	6.5
10-8	8.5%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9																0.0	0.3	8.2
9-9	9.7%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.4
8-10	10.8%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.6
7-11	10.9%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
6-12	10.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
5-13	9.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
4-14	8.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
3-15	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
2-16	3.6%																							3.6
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.8	96.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%