Preseason Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#68
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#218
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.2% 5.4% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 10.3% 10.6% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.3% 26.0% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.5% 23.1% 3.7%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 9.1
.500 or above 45.9% 47.0% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 23.6% 5.3%
Conference Champion 1.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 30.0% 29.1% 57.4%
First Four3.1% 3.1% 0.9%
First Round24.0% 24.6% 3.8%
Second Round14.0% 14.4% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen5.8% 6.0% 0.5%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 23 - 36 - 13
Quad 33 - 19 - 15
Quad 45 - 014 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 303   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-63 97%    
  Nov 11, 2022 128   @ California W 66-64 59%    
  Nov 17, 2022 289   UMKC W 78-59 95%    
  Nov 21, 2022 112   Rhode Island W 70-66 65%    
  Nov 30, 2022 80   @ Butler L 65-67 43%    
  Dec 03, 2022 94   Wichita St. W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 06, 2022 147   Abilene Christian W 78-68 80%    
  Dec 11, 2022 348   Incarnate Word W 81-56 98%    
  Dec 17, 2022 98   Nebraska W 78-72 68%    
  Dec 21, 2022 293   Radford W 75-56 94%    
  Dec 31, 2022 56   West Virginia W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 03, 2023 9   @ Texas L 59-71 18%    
  Jan 07, 2023 4   @ Baylor L 65-78 15%    
  Jan 10, 2023 38   Oklahoma St. L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 19   @ TCU L 63-72 24%    
  Jan 17, 2023 6   Kansas L 69-76 30%    
  Jan 21, 2023 17   Texas Tech L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 24, 2023 51   @ Iowa St. L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 28, 2023 30   Florida L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 31, 2023 6   @ Kansas L 66-79 16%    
  Feb 04, 2023 9   Texas L 62-68 33%    
  Feb 07, 2023 19   TCU L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 11, 2023 17   @ Texas Tech L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 14, 2023 33   @ Oklahoma L 64-71 30%    
  Feb 18, 2023 51   Iowa St. W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 21, 2023 4   Baylor L 68-75 29%    
  Feb 25, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-73 31%    
  Mar 01, 2023 33   Oklahoma L 67-68 47%    
  Mar 04, 2023 56   @ West Virginia L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.2 5.1 1.9 0.2 14.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.2 6.3 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 18.1 9th
10th 2.0 4.7 6.2 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 21.8 10th
Total 2.0 4.9 7.6 9.7 11.3 11.6 11.3 10.1 8.6 7.1 5.4 4.0 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 71.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 34.2% 65.8% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 2.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.8% 99.7% 10.5% 89.3% 3.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 2.8% 99.3% 10.9% 88.4% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
11-7 4.0% 95.3% 9.6% 85.7% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 94.8%
10-8 5.4% 85.4% 6.7% 78.7% 7.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 84.4%
9-9 7.1% 68.9% 6.4% 62.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 66.7%
8-10 8.6% 36.8% 4.7% 32.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 33.7%
7-11 10.1% 14.4% 3.9% 10.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.6 11.0%
6-12 11.3% 3.7% 2.2% 1.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9 1.5%
5-13 11.6% 1.8% 1.7% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4 0.1%
4-14 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.2
3-15 9.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
2-16 7.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
1-17 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
0-18 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
Total 100% 25.3% 3.6% 21.7% 7.3 0.5 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 74.7 22.5%