Preseason Rankings
Butler
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#80
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#342
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#96
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.7% 3.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 7.9% 8.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.1% 25.0% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.3% 21.2% 3.2%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 10.1
.500 or above 46.9% 48.6% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 35.6% 10.0%
Conference Champion 3.4% 3.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.7% 16.6% 41.1%
First Four3.3% 3.4% 1.4%
First Round22.4% 23.3% 4.0%
Second Round12.2% 12.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen4.7% 4.9% 0.8%
Elite Eight1.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 95.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 13
Quad 34 - 210 - 14
Quad 45 - 014 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 286   New Orleans W 81-63 95%    
  Nov 14, 2022 66   @ Penn St. L 59-63 35%    
  Nov 17, 2022 291   St. Francis (PA) W 77-59 94%    
  Nov 19, 2022 265   The Citadel W 80-64 92%    
  Nov 23, 2022 10   Tennessee L 61-71 21%    
  Nov 30, 2022 68   Kansas St. W 67-65 57%    
  Dec 03, 2022 305   Tennessee Tech W 80-61 94%    
  Dec 06, 2022 146   Yale W 71-62 77%    
  Dec 10, 2022 128   @ California W 62-61 54%    
  Dec 17, 2022 31   Connecticut L 64-66 43%    
  Dec 22, 2022 14   @ Creighton L 61-72 19%    
  Dec 29, 2022 50   Providence W 65-64 50%    
  Jan 01, 2023 102   @ Georgetown L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 04, 2023 91   DePaul W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 07, 2023 46   @ Seton Hall L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 10, 2023 49   @ St. John's L 71-77 32%    
  Jan 13, 2023 16   Villanova L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 17, 2023 14   Creighton L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 22, 2023 31   @ Connecticut L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 25, 2023 50   @ Providence L 62-68 32%    
  Jan 28, 2023 46   Seton Hall L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 04, 2023 63   @ Marquette L 68-73 36%    
  Feb 07, 2023 49   St. John's W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 10, 2023 27   Xavier L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 14, 2023 16   @ Villanova L 57-67 21%    
  Feb 19, 2023 102   Georgetown W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 22, 2023 91   @ DePaul L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 28, 2023 63   Marquette W 71-70 54%    
  Mar 04, 2023 27   @ Xavier L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 3.5 1.2 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.3 3.3 1.1 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 4.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 13.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.7 4.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 13.0 10th
11th 0.7 1.9 3.0 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 12.3 11th
Total 0.7 1.9 3.6 5.2 7.2 8.6 9.5 9.7 9.9 9.2 8.3 7.0 5.8 4.6 3.4 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 94.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 83.3% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 61.2% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 32.0% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 42.9% 57.1% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 30.2% 69.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 29.6% 70.4% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.8% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.6% 99.5% 18.7% 80.9% 3.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
15-5 2.3% 97.6% 14.6% 82.9% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.2%
14-6 3.4% 94.5% 12.7% 81.8% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 93.7%
13-7 4.6% 86.7% 10.7% 76.0% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 85.1%
12-8 5.8% 70.0% 7.3% 62.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.8 67.6%
11-9 7.0% 47.8% 6.9% 40.9% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 44.0%
10-10 8.3% 26.5% 5.3% 21.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1 22.4%
9-11 9.2% 10.6% 4.4% 6.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.2 6.5%
8-12 9.9% 3.7% 3.0% 0.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.5 0.7%
7-13 9.7% 2.7% 2.6% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.5 0.1%
6-14 9.5% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.4
5-15 8.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.5
4-16 7.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.1
3-17 5.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-18 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-19 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-20 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
Total 100% 24.1% 4.7% 19.4% 7.9 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 75.9 20.3%