Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#46
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.8#156
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#72
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#31
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.2% 5.4% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 13.4% 13.8% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 22.8% 23.5% 2.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.8% 47.0% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.6% 41.9% 10.1%
Average Seed 6.7 6.6 9.4
.500 or above 65.6% 67.1% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 58.4% 25.0%
Conference Champion 9.2% 9.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 6.8% 23.7%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 3.8%
First Round43.8% 45.0% 11.6%
Second Round27.9% 28.8% 5.2%
Sweet Sixteen12.7% 13.1% 1.6%
Elite Eight5.5% 5.7% 0.4%
Final Four2.4% 2.5% 0.1%
Championship Game1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 11
Quad 34 - 112 - 12
Quad 43 - 015 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 260   Monmouth W 78-59 96%    
  Nov 12, 2022 145   St. Peter's W 71-59 86%    
  Nov 16, 2022 29   Iowa W 77-76 54%    
  Nov 20, 2022 252   Wagner W 77-59 93%    
  Nov 24, 2022 35   Memphis L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 01, 2022 6   @ Kansas L 68-78 20%    
  Dec 11, 2022 43   @ Rutgers L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 14, 2022 201   Drexel W 76-61 89%    
  Dec 17, 2022 50   Providence W 70-66 62%    
  Dec 20, 2022 27   @ Xavier L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 27, 2022 63   @ Marquette L 74-75 46%    
  Dec 31, 2022 49   St. John's W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 03, 2023 14   @ Creighton L 65-73 27%    
  Jan 07, 2023 80   Butler W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 10, 2023 102   @ Georgetown W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 14, 2023 91   @ DePaul W 73-71 55%    
  Jan 18, 2023 31   Connecticut W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 21, 2023 63   Marquette W 77-72 65%    
  Jan 28, 2023 80   @ Butler W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 01, 2023 49   @ St. John's L 76-79 42%    
  Feb 05, 2023 91   DePaul W 76-68 72%    
  Feb 08, 2023 14   Creighton L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 11, 2023 16   @ Villanova L 61-68 29%    
  Feb 14, 2023 102   Georgetown W 79-70 76%    
  Feb 18, 2023 31   @ Connecticut L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 24, 2023 27   Xavier W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 28, 2023 16   Villanova L 64-65 47%    
  Mar 04, 2023 50   @ Providence L 67-69 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.4 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.9 1.5 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.3 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.4 0.7 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.7 5.9 7.5 8.6 9.0 9.3 9.3 8.9 8.0 6.8 5.6 4.2 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 95.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
17-3 79.9% 2.2    1.7 0.5 0.0
16-4 56.5% 2.4    1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 28.8% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 43.1% 56.9% 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.6% 100.0% 36.3% 63.7% 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.5% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.7% 99.8% 28.6% 71.2% 2.5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
16-4 4.2% 99.9% 22.5% 77.4% 3.5 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 5.6% 99.4% 16.8% 82.6% 4.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 6.8% 96.8% 14.3% 82.5% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.3%
13-7 8.0% 90.7% 12.3% 78.4% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 89.4%
12-8 8.9% 77.3% 9.3% 68.0% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 75.0%
11-9 9.3% 55.7% 7.9% 47.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 52.0%
10-10 9.3% 31.9% 5.3% 26.6% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 28.1%
9-11 9.0% 13.0% 4.8% 8.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 8.6%
8-12 8.6% 4.8% 3.6% 1.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2 1.2%
7-13 7.5% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.2 0.0%
6-14 5.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.7
5-15 4.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 4.6
4-16 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-17 2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-18 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 45.8% 8.7% 37.1% 6.7 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.5 3.9 3.8 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 54.2 40.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 95.3 4.7
Lose Out 0.0%