IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.5	#340
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#142
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.3	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#319

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	24.8%	4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.2	15.8

.500 or above	21.6%	72.4%	21.5%
.500 or above in Conference	59.7%	89.6%	59.6%
Conference Champion	6.6%	29.1%	6.6%
Last Place in Conference	6.6%	0.9%	6.6%

First Four	3.1%	7.6%	3.1%
First Round	2.5%	21.8%	2.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 8	9 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	20	@ Virginia	L	45-75	0.3%
Nov 10, 2022	183	@ Appalachian St.	L	59-74	8%
Nov 14, 2022	100	@ Liberty	L	57-78	3%
Nov 26, 2022	237	Gardner-Webb	L	65-71	30%
Nov 29, 2022	211	UNC Asheville	L	67-75	26%
Dec 01, 2022	293	@ Radford	L	62-70	26%
Dec 06, 2022	63	@ Marquette	L	62-87	2%
Dec 13, 2022	47	@ LSU	L	59-85	2%
Dec 17, 2022	237	@ Gardner-Webb	L	62-74	16%
Dec 20, 2022	265	The Citadel	L	74-78	37%
Jan 09, 2023	287	@ Morgan St.	L	71-79	26%
Jan 09, 2023	336	@ Coppin St.	L	73-77	38%
Jan 14, 2023	356	South Carolina St.	W	79-70	76%
Jan 21, 2023	358	Delaware St.	W	79-69	78%
Jan 23, 2023	361	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-61	82%
Jan 28, 2023	332	@ Howard	L	74-78	36%
Jan 30, 2023	190	@ Norfolk St.	L	61-76	12%
Feb 11, 2023	287	Morgan St.	L	74-76	44%
Feb 13, 2023	336	Coppin St.	W	76-74	57%
Feb 18, 2023	358	@ Delaware St.	W	76-72	62%
Feb 20, 2023	361	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-64	67%
Feb 25, 2023	332	Howard	W	77-75	55%
Feb 27, 2023	190	Norfolk St.	L	64-73	24%
Mar 02, 2023	356	@ South Carolina St.	W	76-73	59%
Projected Record						9 - 15	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	2.2	1.4	0.3		6.6	1st
2nd							0.0	0.0	0.8	3.2	5.6	3.8	1.1				14.5	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.2	6.5	7.4	2.7	0.2					19.2	3rd
4th					0.0	0.4	3.5	7.7	5.9	1.4	0.0						18.9	4th
5th				0.0	0.7	4.5	7.7	3.9	0.5	0.0							17.3	5th
6th			0.0	1.0	4.4	5.2	1.6	0.2									12.4	6th
7th		0.1	1.1	3.1	2.5	0.7	0.0										7.6	7th
8th	0.3	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0											3.6	8th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.5	4.9	7.8	10.8	13.0	14.0	13.7	12.0	9.1	5.8	3.3	1.4	0.3			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
13-1	100.0%	1.4		1.2	0.2
12-2	67.8%	2.2		1.3	0.9	0.0
11-3	31.1%	1.8		0.6	0.9	0.3	0.0
10-4	8.4%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0
9-5	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	6.6%	6.6		3.5	2.4	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.3%		55.0%	55.0%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
13-1	1.4%		42.6%	42.6%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8
12-2	3.3%		24.8%	24.8%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	2.5
11-3	5.8%		15.0%	15.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	4.9
10-4	9.1%		9.6%	9.6%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.8	8.2
9-5	12.0%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.6	11.4
8-6	13.7%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.3	13.4
7-7	14.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.2	13.9
6-8	13.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	12.9
5-9	10.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
4-10	7.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
3-11	4.9%																							4.9
2-12	2.5%																							2.5
1-13	1.1%																							1.1
0-14	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	3.8	95.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%