IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UC San Diego
Big West
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#129
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#294

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	26.6%	43.1%	14.8%
.500 or above in Conference	35.1%	48.7%	25.5%
Conference Champion	3.2%	5.6%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	15.8%	8.8%	20.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 6	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	173	Seattle	L	74-76	41%
Nov 12, 2022	275	Sacramento St.	W	72-68	63%
Nov 15, 2022	128	California	L	65-70	32%
Nov 18, 2022	246	@ Navy	L	64-69	34%
Nov 19, 2022	223	Youngstown St.	L	74-77	40%
Nov 22, 2022	196	@ George Washington	L	71-78	27%
Nov 27, 2022	226	@ Eastern Michigan	L	73-79	32%
Dec 01, 2022	176	@ San Diego	L	66-74	25%
Dec 14, 2022	126	@ Nevada	L	72-84	17%
Dec 20, 2022	23	@ San Diego St.	L	57-79	3%
Dec 29, 2022	188	@ Long Beach St.	L	74-82	26%
Dec 31, 2022	129	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	66-77	18%
Jan 05, 2023	157	Hawaii	L	68-71	40%
Jan 11, 2023	207	UC Riverside	L	70-71	47%
Jan 14, 2023	284	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	68-69	45%
Jan 16, 2023	232	UC Davis	W	72-71	52%
Jan 19, 2023	273	@ Cal Poly	L	67-69	42%
Jan 21, 2023	188	Long Beach St.	L	77-79	44%
Jan 26, 2023	311	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	72-71	52%
Jan 28, 2023	207	@ UC Riverside	L	67-74	29%
Feb 02, 2023	143	UC Irvine	L	66-70	38%
Feb 04, 2023	284	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	71-66	64%
Feb 10, 2023	157	@ Hawaii	L	65-74	24%
Feb 15, 2023	191	Cal St. Fullerton	L	70-72	45%
Feb 18, 2023	311	Cal St. Northridge	W	75-68	69%
Feb 20, 2023	232	@ UC Davis	L	69-74	34%
Feb 23, 2023	143	@ UC Irvine	L	63-73	22%
Feb 25, 2023	129	UC Santa Barbara	L	69-74	34%
Mar 02, 2023	273	Cal Poly	W	70-66	61%
Mar 04, 2023	191	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	67-75	28%
Projected Record						11 - 19	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0				4.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.6	2.3	1.3	0.4	0.1						6.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.7	2.1	2.7	1.4	0.3	0.0							7.2	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	2.8	3.4	1.2	0.2	0.0								8.6	5th
6th								0.2	1.2	3.8	3.7	1.3	0.1										10.2	6th
7th							0.3	1.8	4.2	3.6	1.1	0.1											11.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.7	4.4	3.7	1.0	0.1	0.0											12.5	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.2	3.4	4.5	2.9	0.8	0.1	0.0												13.0	9th
10th		0.0	0.6	2.2	3.8	3.8	1.9	0.5	0.0	0.0													12.8	10th
11th	0.6	1.7	2.8	2.8	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0															10.6	11th

Total	0.6	1.8	3.4	5.2	6.9	8.4	9.5	9.7	9.9	9.4	8.4	7.4	5.8	4.8	3.4	2.3	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	97.5%	0.4		0.4	0.0
17-3	81.6%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	56.4%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.0
15-5	28.5%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.1%																							0.1
18-2	0.4%																							0.4
17-3	0.9%																							0.9
16-4	1.5%																							1.5
15-5	2.3%																							2.3
14-6	3.4%																							3.4
13-7	4.8%																							4.8
12-8	5.8%																							5.8
11-9	7.4%																							7.4
10-10	8.4%																							8.4
9-11	9.4%																							9.4
8-12	9.9%																							9.9
7-13	9.7%																							9.7
6-14	9.5%																							9.5
5-15	8.4%																							8.4
4-16	6.9%																							6.9
3-17	5.2%																							5.2
2-18	3.4%																							3.4
1-19	1.8%																							1.8
0-20	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%