IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#262
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.5	#330
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.2	#247

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#275

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	5.9%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	13.7	14.9

.500 or above	21.1%	52.9%	18.2%
.500 or above in Conference	32.1%	57.9%	29.8%
Conference Champion	2.0%	6.4%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	17.5%	5.8%	18.5%

First Four	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%
First Round	2.0%	5.3%	1.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 5	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	90	@ Minnesota	L	59-74	8%
Nov 13, 2022	212	@ Valparaiso	L	63-70	28%
Nov 18, 2022	298	@ Houston Christian	L	59-60	49%
Nov 19, 2022	206	@ Rice	L	67-74	28%
Nov 20, 2022	251	Georgia Southern	L	66-67	45%
Nov 26, 2022	215	Cleveland St.	L	69-70	49%
Nov 30, 2022	28	@ Dayton	L	53-74	4%
Dec 10, 2022	247	Illinois-Chicago	W	71-70	54%
Dec 18, 2022	51	@ Iowa St.	L	56-74	7%
Dec 30, 2022	41	@ Wisconsin	L	57-76	6%
Jan 03, 2023	120	@ Kent St.	L	61-73	17%
Jan 06, 2023	108	@ Toledo	L	65-78	15%
Jan 10, 2023	226	Eastern Michigan	W	72-71	51%
Jan 14, 2023	234	Bowling Green	W	77-76	52%
Jan 17, 2023	200	@ Ball St.	L	69-76	28%
Jan 21, 2023	119	Akron	L	60-66	31%
Jan 24, 2023	144	@ Ohio	L	64-74	21%
Jan 28, 2023	263	@ Central Michigan	L	68-71	41%
Jan 31, 2023	294	Northern Illinois	W	70-64	67%
Feb 04, 2023	133	Buffalo	L	71-76	36%
Feb 07, 2023	269	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-72	42%
Feb 11, 2023	294	@ Northern Illinois	L	67-68	49%
Feb 14, 2023	120	Kent St.	L	64-70	32%
Feb 18, 2023	200	Ball St.	L	72-73	47%
Feb 21, 2023	226	@ Eastern Michigan	L	68-74	33%
Feb 25, 2023	119	@ Akron	L	57-69	17%
Feb 28, 2023	269	Miami (OH)	W	72-69	60%
Mar 03, 2023	263	Central Michigan	W	71-68	59%
Projected Record						10 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.0					5.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.6	2.5	1.4	0.2	0.0						6.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.0	3.1	1.6	0.2	0.0							7.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.2	3.9	1.8	0.2	0.0								8.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	2.3	0.3	0.0									9.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.3	5.0	2.7	0.4	0.0										10.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.6	5.1	2.9	0.5	0.0											11.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.7	3.0	5.1	2.9	0.5	0.0												12.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.3	3.7	4.5	2.4	0.5	0.0													12.7	11th
12th	0.9	2.5	3.5	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0														11.3	12th

Total	0.9	2.6	4.9	7.3	9.1	10.6	11.2	11.1	10.3	8.9	7.1	5.8	4.4	2.7	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	90.0%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	67.8%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	31.9%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		9.3						0.0						0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.1%		50.6%	41.3%	9.2%	11.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		15.7%
16-2	0.4%		24.8%	23.4%	1.4%	12.3											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3		1.8%
15-3	0.9%		21.0%	20.4%	0.6%	13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7		0.7%
14-4	1.7%		13.5%	13.2%	0.3%	13.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.5		0.4%
13-5	2.7%		9.4%	9.4%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.4
12-6	4.4%		6.7%	6.7%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.2
11-7	5.8%		3.9%	3.9%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	5.6
10-8	7.1%		4.3%	4.3%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	6.8
9-9	8.9%		2.5%	2.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	8.7
8-10	10.3%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.1
7-11	11.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
6-12	11.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
5-13	10.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
4-14	9.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-15	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
2-16	4.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
1-17	2.6%																							2.6
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		2.3%	2.3%	0.0%	14.6						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.9	97.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%