Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#269
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#146
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#309
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.4
.500 or above 26.2% 32.5% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 34.8% 15.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.5% 15.4% 30.8%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 48 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 313   Evansville W 71-65 73%    
  Nov 14, 2022 106   @ Georgia L 71-84 12%    
  Nov 17, 2022 159   Marshall L 79-82 39%    
  Nov 20, 2022 13   Indiana L 62-83 4%    
  Nov 26, 2022 261   Arkansas Little Rock W 74-71 59%    
  Nov 29, 2022 308   Jackson St. W 69-63 69%    
  Dec 03, 2022 161   Indiana St. L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 14, 2022 53   @ Cincinnati L 65-83 6%    
  Dec 17, 2022 250   @ Bellarmine L 67-72 35%    
  Dec 22, 2022 171   Wright St. L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 03, 2023 263   @ Central Michigan L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 07, 2023 120   Kent St. L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 10, 2023 133   Buffalo L 76-81 35%    
  Jan 14, 2023 200   @ Ball St. L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 17, 2023 294   Northern Illinois W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 21, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green L 79-85 33%    
  Jan 24, 2023 119   @ Akron L 61-73 16%    
  Jan 28, 2023 226   Eastern Michigan W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 31, 2023 108   Toledo L 73-80 28%    
  Feb 04, 2023 144   @ Ohio L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 07, 2023 262   Western Michigan W 72-69 58%    
  Feb 11, 2023 263   Central Michigan W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 14, 2023 108   @ Toledo L 70-83 15%    
  Feb 18, 2023 294   @ Northern Illinois L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 21, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 25, 2023 144   Ohio L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 28, 2023 262   @ Western Michigan L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 03, 2023 133   @ Buffalo L 73-84 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 5.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 4.0 4.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 11th
12th 1.1 2.8 4.0 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 12.7 12th
Total 1.1 3.0 5.5 7.9 9.6 11.3 11.2 10.9 9.9 8.4 7.0 5.4 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 90.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 61.3% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 32.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 66.7% 44.4% 22.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0%
17-1 0.1% 40.5% 31.8% 8.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.7%
16-2 0.3% 33.1% 30.0% 3.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.5%
15-3 0.8% 16.7% 16.4% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4%
14-4 1.4% 13.7% 13.3% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.4%
13-5 2.4% 10.4% 10.3% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.1%
12-6 3.8% 7.7% 7.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.5
11-7 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.1
10-8 7.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.8
9-9 8.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2
8-10 9.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
7-11 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.1
5-13 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-14 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.5
3-15 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-16 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%