IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#308
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.3	#333
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.9	#349

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.6%	22.5%	9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	24.3%	57.4%	20.4%
.500 or above in Conference	81.9%	95.0%	80.3%
Conference Champion	13.8%	28.0%	12.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.7%	0.1%	0.8%

First Four	6.6%	9.2%	6.3%
First Round	7.0%	17.7%	5.8%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Away) - 10.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 12
Quad 4	12 - 6	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	147	@ Abilene Christian	L	60-73	11%
Nov 12, 2022	136	@ Tulsa	L	56-70	11%
Nov 20, 2022	261	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	61-67	29%
Nov 23, 2022	15	@ Michigan	L	52-79	1%
Nov 25, 2022	13	@ Indiana	L	50-77	1%
Nov 29, 2022	269	@ Miami (OH)	L	63-69	31%
Dec 03, 2022	95	@ SMU	L	56-74	7%
Dec 06, 2022	19	@ TCU	L	49-75	2%
Dec 11, 2022	119	@ Akron	L	52-67	10%
Dec 14, 2022	64	Mississippi St.	L	55-70	12%
Dec 17, 2022	17	Texas Tech	L	50-73	3%
Dec 20, 2022	22	@ Alabama	L	58-84	2%
Dec 22, 2022	166	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	59-71	17%
Jan 02, 2023	350	@ Alcorn St.	W	66-63	59%
Jan 07, 2023	354	Alabama St.	W	70-59	80%
Jan 09, 2023	341	Alabama A&M	W	64-57	70%
Jan 14, 2023	285	@ Prairie View	L	65-69	36%
Jan 16, 2023	241	@ Texas Southern	L	59-68	25%
Jan 21, 2023	353	Bethune-Cookman	W	68-57	80%
Jan 23, 2023	351	Florida A&M	W	65-55	78%
Jan 28, 2023	318	@ Grambling St.	L	64-66	43%
Jan 30, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	63-68	33%
Feb 04, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	77-58	93%
Feb 06, 2023	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	70-55	87%
Feb 11, 2023	351	@ Florida A&M	W	62-58	61%
Feb 13, 2023	353	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	65-60	64%
Feb 18, 2023	350	Alcorn St.	W	69-60	75%
Feb 25, 2023	241	Texas Southern	L	62-65	42%
Feb 27, 2023	285	Prairie View	W	68-66	55%
Mar 02, 2023	360	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	67-58	74%
Mar 04, 2023	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	74-61	84%
Projected Record						13 - 18	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.5	2.0	4.0	4.1	2.5	0.7		13.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	5.9	3.6	0.9	0.0			15.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.8	5.4	5.6	2.6	0.3					15.8	3rd
4th										0.2	1.9	5.3	5.0	1.5	0.1	0.0					14.0	4th
5th									0.2	1.7	4.7	3.9	1.1	0.0							11.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.5	3.9	3.0	0.7	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	3.1	2.3	0.5	0.0									7.3	7th
8th						0.1	0.8	2.3	1.6	0.4	0.0										5.2	8th
9th					0.1	0.6	1.5	1.1	0.3	0.0											3.5	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0												2.1	10th
11th			0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0													1.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.4	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.8	3.1	4.9	6.6	8.5	10.4	11.7	12.8	11.7	10.5	7.9	5.0	2.5	0.7			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	99.0%	2.5		2.3	0.2
16-2	81.7%	4.1		2.9	1.2	0.0
15-3	50.2%	4.0		1.9	1.7	0.4	0.0
14-4	18.8%	2.0		0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1
13-5	4.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.8%	13.8		8.4	4.1	1.0	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		64.0%	64.0%		14.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.3
17-1	2.5%		50.2%	50.2%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.3
16-2	5.0%		37.9%	37.9%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	3.1
15-3	7.9%		26.6%	26.6%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.3	1.7	5.8
14-4	10.5%		17.7%	17.7%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.8	8.7
13-5	11.7%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.3	10.3
12-6	12.8%		6.1%	6.1%		16.0																0.0	0.8	12.0
11-7	11.7%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.5	11.3
10-8	10.4%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.3	10.2
9-9	8.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
8-10	6.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
7-11	4.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
6-12	3.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
5-13	1.8%																							1.8
4-14	1.0%																							1.0
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.6%	10.6%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	8.5	89.4		0.0%