IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.5	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#157
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.6	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.9	#345

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	7.0%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	6.3%	36.4%	6.1%
.500 or above in Conference	47.2%	81.1%	47.0%
Conference Champion	2.6%	16.8%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	0.0%	5.7%

First Four	1.5%	3.2%	1.5%
First Round	0.9%	5.2%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 10	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	58	@ Mississippi	L	55-82	1%
Nov 12, 2022	94	@ Wichita St.	L	58-82	2%
Nov 15, 2022	166	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	63-81	6%
Nov 22, 2022	148	@ UTEP	L	59-78	5%
Nov 23, 2022	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	71-73	44%
Nov 25, 2022	284	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	63-70	27%
Nov 27, 2022	61	@ Arizona St.	L	56-83	1%
Nov 29, 2022	116	@ Grand Canyon	L	58-79	4%
Dec 04, 2022	10	@ Tennessee	L	53-87	0.2%
Dec 10, 2022	138	@ Southern Illinois	L	54-73	6%
Dec 18, 2022	173	@ Seattle	L	65-82	8%
Dec 21, 2022	28	@ Dayton	L	51-81	1%
Dec 29, 2022	90	@ Minnesota	L	57-81	3%
Jan 02, 2023	308	Jackson St.	L	63-66	41%
Jan 07, 2023	341	Alabama A&M	W	67-66	53%
Jan 09, 2023	354	Alabama St.	W	73-68	65%
Jan 14, 2023	241	@ Texas Southern	L	63-77	13%
Jan 16, 2023	285	@ Prairie View	L	69-79	21%
Jan 21, 2023	351	Florida A&M	W	69-65	62%
Jan 23, 2023	353	Bethune-Cookman	W	71-66	65%
Jan 28, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	67-78	18%
Jan 30, 2023	318	@ Grambling St.	L	67-75	26%
Feb 04, 2023	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	73-64	75%
Feb 06, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	81-68	84%
Feb 11, 2023	353	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	68-69	46%
Feb 13, 2023	351	@ Florida A&M	L	66-68	43%
Feb 18, 2023	308	@ Jackson St.	L	60-69	25%
Feb 25, 2023	285	Prairie View	L	72-76	37%
Feb 27, 2023	241	Texas Southern	L	66-74	26%
Mar 02, 2023	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	78-71	71%
Mar 04, 2023	360	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	70-67	59%
Projected Record						9 - 22	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.0		2.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0			4.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	2.3	0.6	0.1	0.0				7.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.6	2.7	0.7	0.0						8.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.9	4.4	3.0	0.6	0.0							10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.3	5.1	3.3	0.7	0.0								11.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.7	5.4	3.4	0.7	0.0									12.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.9	5.2	3.1	0.6	0.0										12.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	2.8	4.7	2.7	0.5	0.0											11.3	9th
10th			0.0	0.6	2.7	3.5	1.7	0.3	0.0												8.9	10th
11th		0.1	0.8	2.1	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.0													6.4	11th
12th	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0														3.3	12th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.0	3.5	5.9	7.7	9.9	11.2	11.5	11.3	10.3	8.5	6.8	4.8	2.7	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.1%	0.3		0.2	0.0
16-2	81.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
15-3	53.6%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.1
14-4	18.2%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.6%	2.6		1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		43.6%	43.6%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.3%		37.0%	37.0%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2
16-2	0.7%		25.9%	25.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5
15-3	1.7%		18.9%	18.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	1.4
14-4	2.7%		9.8%	9.8%		15.9																0.0	0.3	2.5
13-5	4.8%		6.1%	6.1%		16.0																	0.3	4.5
12-6	6.8%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.3	6.5
11-7	8.5%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	8.3
10-8	10.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
9-9	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
8-10	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
7-11	11.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	9.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
5-13	7.7%																							7.7
4-14	5.9%																							5.9
3-15	3.5%																							3.5
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.7	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%