Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#341
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#216
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.4#355
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#243
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.7% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 24.9% 39.0% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.3% 75.0% 52.7%
Conference Champion 6.4% 9.7% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.3% 4.4%
First Four2.4% 3.4% 1.6%
First Round2.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 411 - 1112 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 309   North Alabama L 66-67 48%    
  Nov 14, 2022 276   @ Tennessee St. L 63-72 20%    
  Nov 17, 2022 172   Samford L 67-76 20%    
  Nov 19, 2022 190   Norfolk St. L 59-71 15%    
  Nov 23, 2022 121   Louisiana Tech L 60-73 14%    
  Dec 09, 2022 225   Lipscomb L 67-74 29%    
  Dec 12, 2022 205   South Alabama L 61-69 25%    
  Dec 17, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 52-82 1%    
  Dec 19, 2022 138   @ Southern Illinois L 51-68 8%    
  Dec 22, 2022 72   @ Vanderbilt L 54-78 3%    
  Dec 29, 2022 36   @ Ohio St. L 52-80 1%    
  Jan 02, 2023 360   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-59 81%    
  Jan 04, 2023 363   Mississippi Valley W 77-62 88%    
  Jan 07, 2023 350   @ Alcorn St. L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 09, 2023 308   @ Jackson St. L 57-64 30%    
  Jan 14, 2023 354   Alabama St. W 70-63 71%    
  Jan 21, 2023 241   Texas Southern L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 23, 2023 285   Prairie View L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 28, 2023 351   @ Florida A&M L 62-63 50%    
  Jan 30, 2023 353   @ Bethune-Cookman W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 04, 2023 279   Southern L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 06, 2023 318   Grambling St. L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 11, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 74-65 76%    
  Feb 13, 2023 360   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 18, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 68-61 70%    
  Feb 20, 2023 351   Florida A&M W 65-59 68%    
  Feb 25, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 02, 2023 318   @ Grambling St. L 64-70 31%    
  Mar 04, 2023 279   @ Southern L 63-72 23%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 4.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.8 1.0 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.1 0.7 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.1 4.9 6.9 8.6 10.0 10.8 11.2 10.9 9.3 7.9 5.9 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 96.7% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-2 79.6% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
15-3 47.1% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 19.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 51.7% 51.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 39.3% 39.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6
16-2 2.3% 28.2% 28.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7
15-3 4.0% 16.4% 16.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.3
14-4 5.9% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.0 0.5 5.3
13-5 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.4
12-6 9.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.0
11-7 10.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 10.6
10-8 11.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.0
9-9 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
8-10 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
7-11 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
6-12 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.1 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%