IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.5	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.0	#216
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-10.4	#355

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.7%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	24.9%	39.0%	12.0%
.500 or above in Conference	63.3%	75.0%	52.7%
Conference Champion	6.4%	9.7%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	1.3%	4.4%

First Four	2.4%	3.4%	1.6%
First Round	2.2%	3.6%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2022	309	North Alabama	L	66-67	48%
Nov 14, 2022	276	@ Tennessee St.	L	63-72	20%
Nov 17, 2022	172	Samford	L	67-76	20%
Nov 19, 2022	190	Norfolk St.	L	59-71	15%
Nov 23, 2022	121	Louisiana Tech	L	60-73	14%
Dec 09, 2022	225	Lipscomb	L	67-74	29%
Dec 12, 2022	205	South Alabama	L	61-69	25%
Dec 17, 2022	18	@ Illinois	L	52-82	1%
Dec 19, 2022	138	@ Southern Illinois	L	51-68	8%
Dec 22, 2022	72	@ Vanderbilt	L	54-78	3%
Dec 29, 2022	36	@ Ohio St.	L	52-80	1%
Jan 02, 2023	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	70-59	81%
Jan 04, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	77-62	88%
Jan 07, 2023	350	@ Alcorn St.	L	66-67	47%
Jan 09, 2023	308	@ Jackson St.	L	57-64	30%
Jan 14, 2023	354	Alabama St.	W	70-63	71%
Jan 21, 2023	241	Texas Southern	L	62-68	31%
Jan 23, 2023	285	Prairie View	L	68-70	43%
Jan 28, 2023	351	@ Florida A&M	L	62-63	50%
Jan 30, 2023	353	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	65-64	53%
Feb 04, 2023	279	Southern	L	66-69	40%
Feb 06, 2023	318	Grambling St.	L	66-67	50%
Feb 11, 2023	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	74-65	76%
Feb 13, 2023	360	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	67-62	65%
Feb 18, 2023	353	Bethune-Cookman	W	68-61	70%
Feb 20, 2023	351	Florida A&M	W	65-59	68%
Feb 25, 2023	354	@ Alabama St.	W	67-66	53%
Mar 02, 2023	318	@ Grambling St.	L	64-70	31%
Mar 04, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	63-72	23%
Projected Record						12 - 17	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.4	1.1	1.9	1.8	0.9	0.3		6.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.8	2.6	3.2	1.9	0.5	0.0			9.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.4	3.8	3.7	1.4	0.2	0.0				10.7	3rd
4th										0.2	1.8	4.7	3.7	1.2	0.1						11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.1	4.9	3.8	1.0	0.0							12.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.9	3.5	0.8	0.0								11.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.6	3.1	0.7	0.0									10.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	3.9	2.7	0.5	0.0										9.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.6	3.3	2.1	0.4	0.0											7.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0												5.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.0	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0													3.5	11th
12th	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0															1.6	12th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.8	3.1	4.9	6.9	8.6	10.0	10.8	11.2	10.9	9.3	7.9	5.9	4.0	2.3	0.9	0.3			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	96.7%	0.9		0.8	0.1
16-2	79.6%	1.8		1.3	0.5	0.0
15-3	47.1%	1.9		0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0
14-4	19.3%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.5%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.4%	6.4		3.5	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		51.7%	51.7%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.9%		39.3%	39.3%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6
16-2	2.3%		28.2%	28.2%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7
15-3	4.0%		16.4%	16.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	3.3
14-4	5.9%		9.9%	9.9%		15.9																0.0	0.5	5.3
13-5	7.9%		6.7%	6.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	7.4
12-6	9.3%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.0
11-7	10.9%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	10.6
10-8	11.2%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
9-9	10.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
8-10	10.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
7-11	8.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
6-12	6.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
5-13	4.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
4-14	3.1%																							3.1
3-15	1.8%																							1.8
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	3.1	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%