Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#285
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.6#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#295
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 28.2% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 47.0% 78.5% 42.4%
.500 or above in Conference 84.2% 95.2% 82.6%
Conference Champion 18.0% 33.3% 15.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four8.1% 9.3% 8.0%
First Round10.9% 23.3% 9.1%
Second Round0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 413 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2022 71   Washington St. L 65-78 13%    
  Nov 20, 2022 352   @ Tennessee Martin W 80-75 68%    
  Nov 22, 2022 249   @ Texas San Antonio L 72-78 29%    
  Nov 25, 2022 230   @ Arkansas St. L 71-78 26%    
  Nov 27, 2022 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-85 3%    
  Nov 30, 2022 206   @ Rice L 72-81 23%    
  Dec 11, 2022 85   @ Northwestern L 65-82 8%    
  Dec 13, 2022 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 73-80 30%    
  Dec 17, 2022 170   Montana L 68-75 27%    
  Dec 20, 2022 110   @ New Mexico L 75-89 12%    
  Dec 30, 2022 39   @ Texas A&M L 61-83 4%    
  Jan 02, 2023 318   Grambling St. W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 04, 2023 279   Southern W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 07, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 85-71 87%    
  Jan 09, 2023 360   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-67 79%    
  Jan 14, 2023 308   Jackson St. W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 16, 2023 350   Alcorn St. W 79-69 79%    
  Jan 21, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. W 77-71 68%    
  Jan 23, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 28, 2023 241   @ Texas Southern L 70-77 29%    
  Feb 04, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 78-66 83%    
  Feb 06, 2023 351   Florida A&M W 75-64 81%    
  Feb 11, 2023 279   @ Southern L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 13, 2023 318   @ Grambling St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 18, 2023 360   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-64 90%    
  Feb 20, 2023 363   Mississippi Valley W 88-68 94%    
  Feb 25, 2023 350   @ Alcorn St. W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 27, 2023 308   @ Jackson St. L 66-68 45%    
  Mar 04, 2023 241   Texas Southern L 73-74 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.9 5.4 3.5 1.1 18.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.3 6.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.1 5.5 2.3 0.2 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 4.6 1.4 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.1 6.0 7.8 10.1 11.3 12.3 11.8 11.2 9.0 6.2 3.5 1.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 99.8% 3.5    3.2 0.2
16-2 86.7% 5.4    4.0 1.4 0.1
15-3 55.0% 4.9    2.5 2.0 0.4 0.0
14-4 21.9% 2.4    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.0% 18.0 11.6 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 70.6% 70.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
17-1 3.5% 59.9% 59.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4
16-2 6.2% 44.9% 44.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.4
15-3 9.0% 32.8% 32.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 6.0
14-4 11.2% 22.3% 22.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.2 8.7
13-5 11.8% 15.2% 15.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7 10.0
12-6 12.3% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 11.0
11-7 11.3% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.7 10.7
10-8 10.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 9.7
9-9 7.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 7.6
8-10 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.9
7-11 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
6-12 2.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 11.4 84.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%