Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#318
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.0#76
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 21.0% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 34.6% 70.2% 31.9%
.500 or above in Conference 72.0% 89.9% 70.6%
Conference Champion 10.6% 24.2% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four4.9% 6.1% 4.8%
First Round6.2% 17.4% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Home) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 31 - 9
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 59   Colorado L 62-78 7%    
  Nov 18, 2022 116   @ Grand Canyon L 61-77 8%    
  Nov 22, 2022 61   @ Arizona St. L 59-81 3%    
  Nov 25, 2022 249   @ Texas San Antonio L 68-77 23%    
  Nov 27, 2022 348   Incarnate Word W 72-68 63%    
  Nov 28, 2022 257   Dartmouth L 65-70 36%    
  Dec 03, 2022 348   Incarnate Word W 73-66 72%    
  Dec 09, 2022 72   @ Vanderbilt L 61-82 4%    
  Dec 17, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 55-80 2%    
  Dec 19, 2022 100   @ Liberty L 60-78 8%    
  Dec 23, 2022 41   @ Wisconsin L 57-81 3%    
  Jan 02, 2023 285   @ Prairie View L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 04, 2023 241   @ Texas Southern L 66-75 23%    
  Jan 07, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 74-64 79%    
  Jan 09, 2023 351   Florida A&M W 71-62 76%    
  Jan 14, 2023 279   @ Southern L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 21, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 81-69 83%    
  Jan 23, 2023 360   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-65 73%    
  Jan 28, 2023 308   Jackson St. W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 30, 2023 350   Alcorn St. W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 04, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 06, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 11, 2023 241   Texas Southern L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 13, 2023 285   Prairie View W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 18, 2023 279   Southern L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 25, 2023 351   @ Florida A&M W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 27, 2023 353   @ Bethune-Cookman W 71-67 62%    
  Mar 02, 2023 341   Alabama A&M W 70-64 69%    
  Mar 04, 2023 354   Alabama St. W 76-66 78%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 3.1 1.6 0.5 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.6 4.4 1.6 0.1 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 3.4 0.8 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.6 5.3 6.4 8.7 10.1 11.0 11.3 11.0 9.5 7.9 5.7 3.6 1.6 0.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 99.8% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 85.5% 3.1    2.3 0.8 0.0
15-3 54.9% 3.1    1.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 22.8% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.4 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 64.5% 64.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
17-1 1.6% 51.4% 51.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8
16-2 3.6% 42.3% 42.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.1
15-3 5.7% 29.9% 29.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.0
14-4 7.9% 19.5% 19.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.3
13-5 9.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.2
12-6 11.0% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9 10.1
11-7 11.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.7
10-8 11.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.7
9-9 10.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.9
8-10 8.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-11 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3
6-12 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-13 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 6.9 90.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%