Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-20.3#360
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#149
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-12.9#360
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 1.0% 12.2% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 63.4% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 12.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 0.0% 26.1%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 45 - 125 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 19   @ TCU L 48-86 0.0%   
  Nov 11, 2022 33   @ Oklahoma L 49-84 0.1%   
  Nov 13, 2022 64   @ Mississippi St. L 51-83 0.3%   
  Nov 16, 2022 120   @ Kent St. L 54-81 1%    
  Nov 18, 2022 215   @ Cleveland St. L 59-80 3%    
  Nov 20, 2022 98   @ Nebraska L 60-89 1%    
  Nov 30, 2022 231   @ Air Force L 53-73 5%    
  Dec 10, 2022 9   @ Texas L 44-84 0.0%   
  Dec 14, 2022 90   @ Minnesota L 52-82 1%    
  Jan 02, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M L 59-70 19%    
  Jan 02, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. L 65-72 29%    
  Jan 07, 2023 241   Texas Southern L 61-75 13%    
  Jan 09, 2023 285   Prairie View L 67-77 21%    
  Jan 14, 2023 351   @ Florida A&M L 60-68 26%    
  Jan 16, 2023 353   @ Bethune-Cookman L 63-70 29%    
  Jan 21, 2023 279   Southern L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 23, 2023 318   Grambling St. L 65-73 27%    
  Jan 28, 2023 363   Mississippi Valley W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 04, 2023 350   @ Alcorn St. L 64-73 25%    
  Feb 06, 2023 308   @ Jackson St. L 55-70 13%    
  Feb 11, 2023 354   Alabama St. L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 13, 2023 341   Alabama A&M L 62-67 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 285   @ Prairie View L 64-80 10%    
  Feb 20, 2023 241   @ Texas Southern L 58-78 6%    
  Feb 25, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 02, 2023 308   Jackson St. L 58-67 26%    
  Mar 04, 2023 350   Alcorn St. L 67-70 41%    
Projected Record 5 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.0 1.4 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 4.2 5.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.3 2.4 6.1 6.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 17.8 10th
11th 0.9 4.8 7.7 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 21.1 11th
12th 2.7 5.7 5.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 17.5 12th
Total 2.7 6.6 10.6 12.8 13.7 12.8 11.4 9.2 6.9 4.9 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 82.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 59.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 27.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 17.4% 17.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 19.9% 19.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3
11-7 2.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.5
9-9 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.9
8-10 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
7-11 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 13.7% 13.7
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16 10.6% 10.6
1-17 6.6% 6.6
0-18 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%