Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.4#351
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#280
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.2#354
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#318
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 9.6% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 16.0 15.9
.500 or above 5.1% 37.5% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 81.6% 37.3%
Conference Champion 1.7% 11.0% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 0.0% 7.4%
First Four1.2% 9.6% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 2.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 48 - 98 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 26   @ Oregon L 53-84 0.1%   
  Nov 09, 2022 154   @ Portland L 60-79 4%    
  Nov 11, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. L 59-76 7%    
  Nov 15, 2022 32   @ Miami (FL) L 53-84 0.4%   
  Nov 30, 2022 30   @ Florida L 50-81 0.4%   
  Dec 02, 2022 106   @ Georgia L 59-82 3%    
  Dec 17, 2022 73   @ Louisville L 52-79 1%    
  Dec 21, 2022 3   @ Kentucky L 50-87 0.1%   
  Dec 29, 2022 24   @ Purdue L 52-84 1%    
  Jan 02, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 07, 2023 279   @ Southern L 62-74 17%    
  Jan 09, 2023 318   @ Grambling St. L 62-71 24%    
  Jan 14, 2023 360   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 68-60 74%    
  Jan 16, 2023 363   Mississippi Valley W 76-64 83%    
  Jan 21, 2023 350   @ Alcorn St. L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 23, 2023 308   @ Jackson St. L 55-65 22%    
  Jan 28, 2023 341   Alabama A&M W 63-62 50%    
  Jan 30, 2023 354   Alabama St. W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 04, 2023 241   @ Texas Southern L 58-73 12%    
  Feb 06, 2023 285   @ Prairie View L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 11, 2023 308   Jackson St. L 58-62 39%    
  Feb 13, 2023 350   Alcorn St. W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 18, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 20, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M L 59-65 32%    
  Feb 25, 2023 318   Grambling St. L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 27, 2023 279   Southern L 65-71 32%    
  Mar 04, 2023 353   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-66 44%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 3.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.0 4.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.6 10th
11th 0.4 1.7 3.3 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.0 12th
Total 0.3 1.6 3.2 5.6 8.1 9.6 11.2 11.8 11.2 10.2 8.5 6.7 4.9 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 82.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 49.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 20.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 67.4% 67.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.3% 32.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 27.1% 27.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.1% 16.4% 16.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9
14-4 2.0% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.8
13-5 3.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.1
12-6 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.2 4.7
11-7 6.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 6.6
10-8 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.4
9-9 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.2
8-10 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.6
4-14 8.1% 8.1
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%