Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#154
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.6#88
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 14.3
.500 or above 41.4% 42.7% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.3% 34.2% 11.1%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 15.2% 35.0%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.5%
First Round2.9% 3.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 21 - 31 - 9
Quad 33 - 45 - 12
Quad 48 - 213 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 351   Florida A&M W 79-60 96%    
  Nov 11, 2022 278   Portland St. W 82-72 82%    
  Nov 14, 2022 120   @ Kent St. L 70-76 31%    
  Nov 17, 2022 231   @ Air Force W 68-67 53%    
  Nov 19, 2022 173   Seattle W 78-74 64%    
  Nov 24, 2022 2   North Carolina L 70-88 6%    
  Dec 03, 2022 322   North Dakota W 83-69 87%    
  Dec 05, 2022 216   North Dakota St. W 76-70 68%    
  Dec 10, 2022 286   New Orleans W 86-75 82%    
  Dec 17, 2022 26   @ Oregon L 69-84 11%    
  Dec 22, 2022 207   @ UC Riverside L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 29, 2022 155   Loyola Marymount W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 31, 2022 55   @ BYU L 70-82 17%    
  Jan 07, 2023 44   @ St. Mary's L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 12, 2023 83   San Francisco L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 14, 2023 1   @ Gonzaga L 72-95 3%    
  Jan 19, 2023 176   San Diego W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 194   Pepperdine W 81-76 65%    
  Jan 26, 2023 155   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 28, 2023 1   Gonzaga L 75-92 9%    
  Feb 02, 2023 176   @ San Diego L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 04, 2023 194   @ Pepperdine L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 09, 2023 228   Pacific W 78-71 70%    
  Feb 11, 2023 44   St. Mary's L 64-71 30%    
  Feb 18, 2023 127   Santa Clara W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 23, 2023 83   @ San Francisco L 72-81 23%    
  Feb 25, 2023 228   @ Pacific W 75-74 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.1 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.0 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.6 6.2 2.0 0.2 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.0 5.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.2 1.3 0.1 12.8 9th
10th 0.8 2.5 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 9.7 10th
Total 0.8 2.6 5.6 8.7 10.5 12.7 13.3 12.5 10.7 8.9 6.2 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 60.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 25.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 7.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.1% 88.6% 22.7% 65.9% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.3%
14-2 0.4% 71.0% 18.3% 52.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 64.5%
13-3 1.1% 44.0% 9.5% 34.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 38.2%
12-4 2.2% 25.8% 9.6% 16.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 17.9%
11-5 3.8% 11.4% 5.3% 6.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.4 6.4%
10-6 6.2% 6.1% 4.7% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 1.5%
9-7 8.9% 3.5% 3.3% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.2%
8-8 10.7% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.0%
7-9 12.5% 1.4% 1.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3
6-10 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
5-11 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6
4-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.4
3-13 8.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.6
2-14 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-15 2.6% 2.6
0-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
Total 100% 3.3% 1.9% 1.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 96.7 1.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%