IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#138
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#293

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	1.9%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.2	15.7

.500 or above	18.5%	28.6%	7.5%
.500 or above in Conference	26.8%	36.3%	16.5%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	18.3%	11.8%	25.5%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%
First Round	1.0%	1.5%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 7	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2022	341	@ Alabama A&M	W	67-66	52%
Nov 18, 2022	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	81-69	86%
Nov 22, 2022	328	Hampton	W	74-72	56%
Nov 23, 2022	129	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	63-78	10%
Nov 26, 2022	97	@ Georgia Tech	L	62-80	6%
Nov 30, 2022	35	@ Memphis	L	61-85	2%
Dec 03, 2022	187	@ Morehead St.	L	61-72	17%
Dec 07, 2022	354	Alabama St.	W	76-66	80%
Dec 15, 2022	59	@ Colorado	L	59-80	4%
Dec 20, 2022	58	@ Mississippi	L	57-79	4%
Dec 30, 2022	209	@ Jacksonville St.	L	65-75	20%
Jan 02, 2023	250	Bellarmine	L	66-68	43%
Jan 05, 2023	225	@ Lipscomb	L	71-80	23%
Jan 07, 2023	292	Stetson	W	70-68	56%
Jan 12, 2023	100	@ Liberty	L	60-77	8%
Jan 14, 2023	321	@ Queens	L	72-74	43%
Jan 18, 2023	334	@ Central Arkansas	L	77-78	48%
Jan 21, 2023	334	Central Arkansas	W	80-75	67%
Jan 26, 2023	160	Jacksonville	L	61-67	31%
Jan 28, 2023	243	North Florida	L	72-74	42%
Feb 02, 2023	292	@ Stetson	L	67-71	37%
Feb 04, 2023	203	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-82	20%
Feb 09, 2023	254	Austin Peay	L	67-68	45%
Feb 11, 2023	225	Lipscomb	L	74-77	40%
Feb 16, 2023	250	@ Bellarmine	L	63-71	26%
Feb 18, 2023	219	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	72-82	22%
Feb 22, 2023	242	Kennesaw St.	L	70-72	42%
Feb 24, 2023	209	Jacksonville St.	L	68-72	36%
Projected Record						10 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.0					3.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	1.6	1.3	0.3	0.0						3.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.1	1.8	0.4	0.0	0.0						4.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.0	2.5	0.7	0.0								5.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.9	3.1	1.3	0.1	0.0								6.7	7th
8th							0.1	1.6	3.8	1.9	0.2	0.0									7.7	8th
9th						0.1	1.5	4.2	2.8	0.4	0.0										9.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	3.6	0.8	0.0											9.7	10th
11th				0.1	1.2	4.1	4.2	1.3	0.1												10.9	11th
12th			0.1	1.4	4.2	4.5	1.5	0.1													11.9	12th
13th		0.3	2.1	4.5	3.8	1.3	0.2														12.2	13th
14th	1.3	3.2	3.8	2.5	0.8	0.1															11.7	14th

Total	1.3	3.5	6.0	8.6	10.2	11.3	11.5	11.0	9.7	8.0	6.7	4.6	3.2	2.1	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	91.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	81.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-3	46.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	22.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	5.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		48.4%	48.4%		11.0							0.0							0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		31.4%	31.4%		13.2													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.3%		16.4%	16.4%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.7%		17.4%	17.4%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
14-4	1.1%		11.1%	11.1%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.0
13-5	2.1%		6.0%	6.0%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0
12-6	3.2%		5.1%	5.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.0
11-7	4.6%		3.7%	3.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.5
10-8	6.7%		2.2%	2.2%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.5
9-9	8.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.9
8-10	9.7%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																0.0	0.1	9.6
7-11	11.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
6-12	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
5-13	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-14	10.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
3-15	8.6%																							8.6
2-16	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
1-17	3.5%																							3.5
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.3							0.0						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%