IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.9	#344
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.2	#72
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.5	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.0%	14.3%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.3	15.8

.500 or above	16.9%	61.3%	16.5%
.500 or above in Conference	34.5%	70.5%	34.1%
Conference Champion	3.4%	14.8%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	20.7%	4.5%	20.8%

First Four	1.8%	5.4%	1.8%
First Round	1.8%	10.6%	1.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 12	9 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	64	@ Mississippi St.	L	57-82	1%
Nov 11, 2022	249	Texas San Antonio	L	70-76	29%
Nov 17, 2022	303	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	75-76	45%
Nov 22, 2022	284	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	64-70	31%
Nov 23, 2022	350	Alcorn St.	W	73-71	56%
Nov 25, 2022	148	@ UTEP	L	61-78	8%
Nov 30, 2022	303	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	72-79	27%
Dec 13, 2022	12	@ Arizona	L	64-96	0.5%
Dec 20, 2022	38	@ Oklahoma St.	L	58-86	1%
Dec 31, 2022	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	75-79	37%
Jan 04, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	72-68	62%
Jan 07, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	L	69-71	42%
Jan 12, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	L	77-78	48%
Jan 14, 2023	286	New Orleans	L	77-79	42%
Jan 19, 2023	301	@ Lamar	L	66-74	27%
Jan 21, 2023	298	@ Houston Christian	L	58-66	27%
Jan 26, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	71-79	27%
Jan 28, 2023	331	McNeese St.	W	77-76	54%
Feb 02, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	74-82	26%
Feb 04, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	74-81	30%
Feb 09, 2023	298	Houston Christian	L	61-63	44%
Feb 11, 2023	301	Lamar	L	69-71	45%
Feb 16, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	68-82	15%
Feb 18, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	L	74-79	35%
Feb 23, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	72-69	59%
Feb 25, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	78-76	56%
Mar 01, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	69-72	40%
Projected Record						9 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1		3.4	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.7	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0				5.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.4	2.8	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0					7.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.9	3.6	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.5	4.4	2.2	0.4	0.0								10.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.2	4.7	2.2	0.3	0.0									11.0	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.7	5.2	2.1	0.3	0.0										12.3	7th
8th				0.2	1.7	4.3	4.9	1.9	0.2	0.0											13.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.8	2.7	4.8	4.1	1.6	0.2													14.1	9th
10th	0.9	2.6	3.8	3.9	2.3	0.8	0.1														14.4	10th

Total	0.9	2.6	4.6	6.7	8.9	10.2	10.8	10.8	9.9	8.9	7.7	6.2	4.7	3.1	1.9	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	93.5%	0.5		0.5	0.1
15-3	73.2%	0.9		0.6	0.2	0.0
14-4	43.6%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	20.3%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		66.4%	66.4%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		41.2%	41.2%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.5%		41.6%	41.6%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.2%		29.8%	29.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8
14-4	1.9%		19.9%	19.9%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	1.5
13-5	3.1%		14.0%	14.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	2.7
12-6	4.7%		8.5%	8.5%		15.9																0.0	0.4	4.3
11-7	6.2%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																0.0	0.3	5.8
10-8	7.7%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3	7.4
9-9	8.9%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	8.8
8-10	9.9%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	9.8
7-11	10.8%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
6-12	10.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
5-13	10.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
4-14	8.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
3-15	6.7%																							6.7
2-16	4.6%																							4.6
1-17	2.6%																							2.6
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		3.0%	3.0%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	2.4	97.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%